An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation

Abstract Constructing suitable tree ring width (TRW) proxy system models (PSMs) is an emerging research focus in paleoclimate data assimilation (PDA). Currently, however, it is unknown as to which TRW PSMs are optimal for practical PDA applications. This study proposes an artificial neural networks...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Miao Fang, Xin Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2019-04-01
Series:Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001525
_version_ 1818665221930090496
author Miao Fang
Xin Li
author_facet Miao Fang
Xin Li
author_sort Miao Fang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Constructing suitable tree ring width (TRW) proxy system models (PSMs) is an emerging research focus in paleoclimate data assimilation (PDA). Currently, however, it is unknown as to which TRW PSMs are optimal for practical PDA applications. This study proposes an artificial neural networks (ANN)‐based TRW PSM and compares its performance with those of existing TRW PSMs, including linear univariate model, linear multivariate model, and physically based VS‐Lite model. The results show that ANN‐based TRW PSM is more suitable for practical PDA applications than other three TRW PSMs in terms of performance and universality. Overall, the performances of the four TRW PSMs in PDA can be ranked as follows (from best to worst): ANN, linear multivariate model, linear univariate model, and physically based VS‐Lite model. In addition, the results of our study not only indicate that the ANN model is a really effective tool for constructing TRW PSM in practical PDA applications but also imply that the ANN model has the potential to provide new insights into the construction of other types of PSMs (e.g., speleothem δ18O PSM) when physics of the climate‐proxy relationships cannot be described fully in advance.
first_indexed 2024-12-17T05:45:12Z
format Article
id doaj.art-c2241af511ba475687a87b964058f04d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1942-2466
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-17T05:45:12Z
publishDate 2019-04-01
publisher American Geophysical Union (AGU)
record_format Article
series Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
spelling doaj.art-c2241af511ba475687a87b964058f04d2022-12-21T22:01:20ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems1942-24662019-04-0111489290410.1029/2018MS001525An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data AssimilationMiao Fang0Xin Li1Northwest Institute of Eco‐Environment and Resource Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou ChinaInstitute of Tibetan Plateau Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaAbstract Constructing suitable tree ring width (TRW) proxy system models (PSMs) is an emerging research focus in paleoclimate data assimilation (PDA). Currently, however, it is unknown as to which TRW PSMs are optimal for practical PDA applications. This study proposes an artificial neural networks (ANN)‐based TRW PSM and compares its performance with those of existing TRW PSMs, including linear univariate model, linear multivariate model, and physically based VS‐Lite model. The results show that ANN‐based TRW PSM is more suitable for practical PDA applications than other three TRW PSMs in terms of performance and universality. Overall, the performances of the four TRW PSMs in PDA can be ranked as follows (from best to worst): ANN, linear multivariate model, linear univariate model, and physically based VS‐Lite model. In addition, the results of our study not only indicate that the ANN model is a really effective tool for constructing TRW PSM in practical PDA applications but also imply that the ANN model has the potential to provide new insights into the construction of other types of PSMs (e.g., speleothem δ18O PSM) when physics of the climate‐proxy relationships cannot be described fully in advance.https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001525paleoclimate data assimilationproxy system model of tree ring widthartificial neural netwokclimate reconstruction
spellingShingle Miao Fang
Xin Li
An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
paleoclimate data assimilation
proxy system model of tree ring width
artificial neural netwok
climate reconstruction
title An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
title_full An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
title_fullStr An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
title_full_unstemmed An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
title_short An Artificial Neural Networks‐Based Tree Ring Width Proxy System Model for Paleoclimate Data Assimilation
title_sort artificial neural networks based tree ring width proxy system model for paleoclimate data assimilation
topic paleoclimate data assimilation
proxy system model of tree ring width
artificial neural netwok
climate reconstruction
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001525
work_keys_str_mv AT miaofang anartificialneuralnetworksbasedtreeringwidthproxysystemmodelforpaleoclimatedataassimilation
AT xinli anartificialneuralnetworksbasedtreeringwidthproxysystemmodelforpaleoclimatedataassimilation
AT miaofang artificialneuralnetworksbasedtreeringwidthproxysystemmodelforpaleoclimatedataassimilation
AT xinli artificialneuralnetworksbasedtreeringwidthproxysystemmodelforpaleoclimatedataassimilation