Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania

In this paper, we test if a depreciation of a national currency will lead to an improvement of the trade balance. We chose the bilateral relationship of Romania and its ten main trading partners. This study will fill the gap in the Romanian literature on this topic in two ways. Firstly, by using a l...

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Main Authors: Ecaterina TOMOIAGA, Monica Ioana POP SILAGHI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: General Association of Economists from Romania 2022-03-01
Series:Theoretical and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1578.pdf
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author Ecaterina TOMOIAGA
Monica Ioana POP SILAGHI
author_facet Ecaterina TOMOIAGA
Monica Ioana POP SILAGHI
author_sort Ecaterina TOMOIAGA
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we test if a depreciation of a national currency will lead to an improvement of the trade balance. We chose the bilateral relationship of Romania and its ten main trading partners. This study will fill the gap in the Romanian literature on this topic in two ways. Firstly, by using a larger data set than it is used in previous studies. The data set consists of panel data for the period 1999-2019. Secondly, by applying a Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square model we test the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate and trade balance. Through the analysis carried out, we obtained the result that a depreciation of the RON will lead to an improvement in the Romanian trade balance.
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spelling doaj.art-c2625b7af3b64d78a6ade9f43963a98f2022-12-22T02:39:35ZengGeneral Association of Economists from RomaniaTheoretical and Applied Economics1841-86781844-00292022-03-01XXIX1394818418678Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for RomaniaEcaterina TOMOIAGA0Monica Ioana POP SILAGHI1 Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania In this paper, we test if a depreciation of a national currency will lead to an improvement of the trade balance. We chose the bilateral relationship of Romania and its ten main trading partners. This study will fill the gap in the Romanian literature on this topic in two ways. Firstly, by using a larger data set than it is used in previous studies. The data set consists of panel data for the period 1999-2019. Secondly, by applying a Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square model we test the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate and trade balance. Through the analysis carried out, we obtained the result that a depreciation of the RON will lead to an improvement in the Romanian trade balance. http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1578.pdf marshall-lerner panelnational currency depreciationtrade balanceromania
spellingShingle Ecaterina TOMOIAGA
Monica Ioana POP SILAGHI
Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania
Theoretical and Applied Economics
marshall-lerner panel
national currency depreciation
trade balance
romania
title Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania
title_full Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania
title_fullStr Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania
title_full_unstemmed Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania
title_short Testing the Marshall-Lerner condition for Romania
title_sort testing the marshall lerner condition for romania
topic marshall-lerner panel
national currency depreciation
trade balance
romania
url http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1578.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT ecaterinatomoiaga testingthemarshalllernerconditionforromania
AT monicaioanapopsilaghi testingthemarshalllernerconditionforromania