A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.

Pathogens and parasites are ubiquitous in the living world, being limited only by availability of suitable hosts. The ability to transmit a particular disease depends on competing infections as well as on the status of host immunity. Multiple diseases compete for the same resource and their fate is...

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Main Authors: Kim Sneppen, Ala Trusina, Mogens H Jensen, Stefan Bornholdt
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2010-10-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/20976185/pdf/?tool=EBI
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author Kim Sneppen
Ala Trusina
Mogens H Jensen
Stefan Bornholdt
author_facet Kim Sneppen
Ala Trusina
Mogens H Jensen
Stefan Bornholdt
author_sort Kim Sneppen
collection DOAJ
description Pathogens and parasites are ubiquitous in the living world, being limited only by availability of suitable hosts. The ability to transmit a particular disease depends on competing infections as well as on the status of host immunity. Multiple diseases compete for the same resource and their fate is coupled to each other. Such couplings have many facets, for example cross-immunization between related influenza strains, mutual inhibition by killing the host, or possible even a mutual catalytic effect if host immunity is impaired. We here introduce a minimal model for an unlimited number of unrelated pathogens whose interaction is simplified to simple mutual exclusion. The model incorporates an ongoing development of host immunity to past diseases, while leaving the system open for emergence of new diseases. The model exhibits a rich dynamical behavior with interacting infection waves, leaving broad trails of immunization in the host population. This obtained immunization pattern depends only on the system size and on the mutation rate that initiates new diseases.
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spelling doaj.art-c294e82344d344dc8cdb7a005356d4302022-12-21T22:58:12ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032010-10-01510e1332610.1371/journal.pone.0013326A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.Kim SneppenAla TrusinaMogens H JensenStefan BornholdtPathogens and parasites are ubiquitous in the living world, being limited only by availability of suitable hosts. The ability to transmit a particular disease depends on competing infections as well as on the status of host immunity. Multiple diseases compete for the same resource and their fate is coupled to each other. Such couplings have many facets, for example cross-immunization between related influenza strains, mutual inhibition by killing the host, or possible even a mutual catalytic effect if host immunity is impaired. We here introduce a minimal model for an unlimited number of unrelated pathogens whose interaction is simplified to simple mutual exclusion. The model incorporates an ongoing development of host immunity to past diseases, while leaving the system open for emergence of new diseases. The model exhibits a rich dynamical behavior with interacting infection waves, leaving broad trails of immunization in the host population. This obtained immunization pattern depends only on the system size and on the mutation rate that initiates new diseases.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/20976185/pdf/?tool=EBI
spellingShingle Kim Sneppen
Ala Trusina
Mogens H Jensen
Stefan Bornholdt
A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.
PLoS ONE
title A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.
title_full A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.
title_fullStr A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.
title_full_unstemmed A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.
title_short A minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading.
title_sort minimal model for multiple epidemics and immunity spreading
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/20976185/pdf/?tool=EBI
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