An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market

The dynamic dimensioning of frequency restoration reserves based on probabilistic criteria is becoming increasingly relevant in European power grid operations, following the guidelines of European legislation. This article compares dynamic dimensioning based on <i>k</i>-means clustering...

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Main Author: Anthony Papavasiliou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-09-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/18/5719
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author Anthony Papavasiliou
author_facet Anthony Papavasiliou
author_sort Anthony Papavasiliou
collection DOAJ
description The dynamic dimensioning of frequency restoration reserves based on probabilistic criteria is becoming increasingly relevant in European power grid operations, following the guidelines of European legislation. This article compares dynamic dimensioning based on <i>k</i>-means clustering to static dimensioning on a case study of the Greek electricity market. It presents a model of system imbalances which aims to capture various realistic features of the stochastic behavior of imbalances, including skewed distributions, the dependencies of the imbalance distribution on various imbalance drivers, and the contributions of idiosyncratic noise to system imbalances. The imbalance model was calibrated in order to be consistent with historical reserve requirements in the Greek electricity market. The imbalance model was then employed in order to compare dynamic dimensioning based on probabilistic criteria to static dimensioning. The analysis revealed potential benefits of dynamic dimensioning for the Greek electricity market, which include a reduction in average reserve requirements and the preservation of a constant risk profile due to the adaptive nature of probabilistic dimensioning.
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spelling doaj.art-c298340b8ee8419fa3851b37b511cf372023-11-22T12:51:57ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-09-011418571910.3390/en14185719An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity MarketAnthony Papavasiliou0Center for Operations Research and Econometrics, Université Catholique de Louvain, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiumThe dynamic dimensioning of frequency restoration reserves based on probabilistic criteria is becoming increasingly relevant in European power grid operations, following the guidelines of European legislation. This article compares dynamic dimensioning based on <i>k</i>-means clustering to static dimensioning on a case study of the Greek electricity market. It presents a model of system imbalances which aims to capture various realistic features of the stochastic behavior of imbalances, including skewed distributions, the dependencies of the imbalance distribution on various imbalance drivers, and the contributions of idiosyncratic noise to system imbalances. The imbalance model was calibrated in order to be consistent with historical reserve requirements in the Greek electricity market. The imbalance model was then employed in order to compare dynamic dimensioning based on probabilistic criteria to static dimensioning. The analysis revealed potential benefits of dynamic dimensioning for the Greek electricity market, which include a reduction in average reserve requirements and the preservation of a constant risk profile due to the adaptive nature of probabilistic dimensioning.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/18/5719reserves<i>k</i>-meansprobabilistic dimensioningdynamic dimensioningbalancing
spellingShingle Anthony Papavasiliou
An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market
Energies
reserves
<i>k</i>-means
probabilistic dimensioning
dynamic dimensioning
balancing
title An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market
title_full An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market
title_fullStr An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market
title_full_unstemmed An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market
title_short An Overview of Probabilistic Dimensioning of Frequency Restoration Reserves with a Focus on the Greek Electricity Market
title_sort overview of probabilistic dimensioning of frequency restoration reserves with a focus on the greek electricity market
topic reserves
<i>k</i>-means
probabilistic dimensioning
dynamic dimensioning
balancing
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/18/5719
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