Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
Abstract A stochastic horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing scheme is evaluated in ensemble simulations of a tropical oceanic deep convection case using a horizontal grid spacing (Δh) of 3 km. The stochastic scheme, which perturbs the horizontal mixing coefficient according to a prescribed spatiotemporal...
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Format: | Article |
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American Geophysical Union (AGU)
2024-01-01
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Series: | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003748 |
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author | McKenna W. Stanford Adam C. Varble Hugh Morrison |
author_facet | McKenna W. Stanford Adam C. Varble Hugh Morrison |
author_sort | McKenna W. Stanford |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract A stochastic horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing scheme is evaluated in ensemble simulations of a tropical oceanic deep convection case using a horizontal grid spacing (Δh) of 3 km. The stochastic scheme, which perturbs the horizontal mixing coefficient according to a prescribed spatiotemporal autocorrelation scale, is found to generally increase mesoscale organization and convective intensity relative to a non‐stochastic control simulation. Perturbations applied at relatively short autocorrelation scales induce differences relative to the control that are more systematic than those from perturbations applied at relatively long scales that yield more variable outcomes. A simulation with mixing enhanced by a constant factor of 4 significantly increases mesoscale organization and convective intensity, while turning off horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing decreases both. Total rainfall is modulated by a combination of mesoscale organization, areal coverage of convection, and convective intensity. The stochastic simulations tend to behave more similarly to the constant enhanced mixing simulation owing to greater impacts from enhanced mixing as compared to reduced mixing. The impacts of stochastic mixing are robust, ascertained by comparing the stochastic mixing ensembles with a non‐stochastic mixing ensemble that has grid‐scale noise added to the initial thermodynamic field. Compared to radar observations and a higher resolution Δh = 1 km simulation, stochastic mixing seemingly degrades the simulation performance. These results imply that stochastic mixing produces non‐negligible impacts on convective system properties and evolution but does not lead to an improved representation of convective cloud characteristics in the case studied here. |
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id | doaj.art-c2f3ff61e2bc4ae09e50cd1692d92136 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1942-2466 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-07T22:58:35Z |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
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series | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems |
spelling | doaj.art-c2f3ff61e2bc4ae09e50cd1692d921362024-02-22T16:54:50ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems1942-24662024-01-01161n/an/a10.1029/2023MS003748Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case StudyMcKenna W. Stanford0Adam C. Varble1Hugh Morrison2Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Utah Salt Lake City UT USAPacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland WA USANational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USAAbstract A stochastic horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing scheme is evaluated in ensemble simulations of a tropical oceanic deep convection case using a horizontal grid spacing (Δh) of 3 km. The stochastic scheme, which perturbs the horizontal mixing coefficient according to a prescribed spatiotemporal autocorrelation scale, is found to generally increase mesoscale organization and convective intensity relative to a non‐stochastic control simulation. Perturbations applied at relatively short autocorrelation scales induce differences relative to the control that are more systematic than those from perturbations applied at relatively long scales that yield more variable outcomes. A simulation with mixing enhanced by a constant factor of 4 significantly increases mesoscale organization and convective intensity, while turning off horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing decreases both. Total rainfall is modulated by a combination of mesoscale organization, areal coverage of convection, and convective intensity. The stochastic simulations tend to behave more similarly to the constant enhanced mixing simulation owing to greater impacts from enhanced mixing as compared to reduced mixing. The impacts of stochastic mixing are robust, ascertained by comparing the stochastic mixing ensembles with a non‐stochastic mixing ensemble that has grid‐scale noise added to the initial thermodynamic field. Compared to radar observations and a higher resolution Δh = 1 km simulation, stochastic mixing seemingly degrades the simulation performance. These results imply that stochastic mixing produces non‐negligible impacts on convective system properties and evolution but does not lead to an improved representation of convective cloud characteristics in the case studied here.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003748stochastic parameterizationconvective processesupdraft mixingconvective organizationdynamics‐microphysics interactionsdeep convective gray zone |
spellingShingle | McKenna W. Stanford Adam C. Varble Hugh Morrison Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems stochastic parameterization convective processes updraft mixing convective organization dynamics‐microphysics interactions deep convective gray zone |
title | Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study |
title_full | Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study |
title_fullStr | Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study |
title_full_unstemmed | Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study |
title_short | Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study |
title_sort | evaluation of a stochastic mixing scheme in the deep convective gray zone using a tropical oceanic deep convection case study |
topic | stochastic parameterization convective processes updraft mixing convective organization dynamics‐microphysics interactions deep convective gray zone |
url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003748 |
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