Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study

Abstract A stochastic horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing scheme is evaluated in ensemble simulations of a tropical oceanic deep convection case using a horizontal grid spacing (Δh) of 3 km. The stochastic scheme, which perturbs the horizontal mixing coefficient according to a prescribed spatiotemporal...

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Main Authors: McKenna W. Stanford, Adam C. Varble, Hugh Morrison
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003748
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author McKenna W. Stanford
Adam C. Varble
Hugh Morrison
author_facet McKenna W. Stanford
Adam C. Varble
Hugh Morrison
author_sort McKenna W. Stanford
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A stochastic horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing scheme is evaluated in ensemble simulations of a tropical oceanic deep convection case using a horizontal grid spacing (Δh) of 3 km. The stochastic scheme, which perturbs the horizontal mixing coefficient according to a prescribed spatiotemporal autocorrelation scale, is found to generally increase mesoscale organization and convective intensity relative to a non‐stochastic control simulation. Perturbations applied at relatively short autocorrelation scales induce differences relative to the control that are more systematic than those from perturbations applied at relatively long scales that yield more variable outcomes. A simulation with mixing enhanced by a constant factor of 4 significantly increases mesoscale organization and convective intensity, while turning off horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing decreases both. Total rainfall is modulated by a combination of mesoscale organization, areal coverage of convection, and convective intensity. The stochastic simulations tend to behave more similarly to the constant enhanced mixing simulation owing to greater impacts from enhanced mixing as compared to reduced mixing. The impacts of stochastic mixing are robust, ascertained by comparing the stochastic mixing ensembles with a non‐stochastic mixing ensemble that has grid‐scale noise added to the initial thermodynamic field. Compared to radar observations and a higher resolution Δh = 1 km simulation, stochastic mixing seemingly degrades the simulation performance. These results imply that stochastic mixing produces non‐negligible impacts on convective system properties and evolution but does not lead to an improved representation of convective cloud characteristics in the case studied here.
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spelling doaj.art-c2f3ff61e2bc4ae09e50cd1692d921362024-02-22T16:54:50ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems1942-24662024-01-01161n/an/a10.1029/2023MS003748Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case StudyMcKenna W. Stanford0Adam C. Varble1Hugh Morrison2Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Utah Salt Lake City UT USAPacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland WA USANational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USAAbstract A stochastic horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing scheme is evaluated in ensemble simulations of a tropical oceanic deep convection case using a horizontal grid spacing (Δh) of 3 km. The stochastic scheme, which perturbs the horizontal mixing coefficient according to a prescribed spatiotemporal autocorrelation scale, is found to generally increase mesoscale organization and convective intensity relative to a non‐stochastic control simulation. Perturbations applied at relatively short autocorrelation scales induce differences relative to the control that are more systematic than those from perturbations applied at relatively long scales that yield more variable outcomes. A simulation with mixing enhanced by a constant factor of 4 significantly increases mesoscale organization and convective intensity, while turning off horizontal subgrid‐scale mixing decreases both. Total rainfall is modulated by a combination of mesoscale organization, areal coverage of convection, and convective intensity. The stochastic simulations tend to behave more similarly to the constant enhanced mixing simulation owing to greater impacts from enhanced mixing as compared to reduced mixing. The impacts of stochastic mixing are robust, ascertained by comparing the stochastic mixing ensembles with a non‐stochastic mixing ensemble that has grid‐scale noise added to the initial thermodynamic field. Compared to radar observations and a higher resolution Δh = 1 km simulation, stochastic mixing seemingly degrades the simulation performance. These results imply that stochastic mixing produces non‐negligible impacts on convective system properties and evolution but does not lead to an improved representation of convective cloud characteristics in the case studied here.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003748stochastic parameterizationconvective processesupdraft mixingconvective organizationdynamics‐microphysics interactionsdeep convective gray zone
spellingShingle McKenna W. Stanford
Adam C. Varble
Hugh Morrison
Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
stochastic parameterization
convective processes
updraft mixing
convective organization
dynamics‐microphysics interactions
deep convective gray zone
title Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
title_full Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
title_fullStr Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
title_short Evaluation of a Stochastic Mixing Scheme in the Deep Convective Gray Zone Using a Tropical Oceanic Deep Convection Case Study
title_sort evaluation of a stochastic mixing scheme in the deep convective gray zone using a tropical oceanic deep convection case study
topic stochastic parameterization
convective processes
updraft mixing
convective organization
dynamics‐microphysics interactions
deep convective gray zone
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003748
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AT hughmorrison evaluationofastochasticmixingschemeinthedeepconvectivegrayzoneusingatropicaloceanicdeepconvectioncasestudy