Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI

Taking the multi-component perspective in Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is one promising approach to improve prediction quality. Therefore, detection and modeling of interdependencies within systems are important, especially as systems become more complex and personalized. However, existing solutions...

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Main Authors: Milot Gashi, Belgin Mutlu, Stefan Thalmann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/5/3088
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author Milot Gashi
Belgin Mutlu
Stefan Thalmann
author_facet Milot Gashi
Belgin Mutlu
Stefan Thalmann
author_sort Milot Gashi
collection DOAJ
description Taking the multi-component perspective in Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is one promising approach to improve prediction quality. Therefore, detection and modeling of interdependencies within systems are important, especially as systems become more complex and personalized. However, existing solutions in PdM mostly focus on a single-component perspective, neglecting the dependencies between components, even if interdependencies can be found between most components in the real world. The major reason for this lost opportunity is the challenge of identifying and modeling interdependencies between components. This paper introduces a framework to identify interdependencies and explain their impact on PdM within a Multi-Component System (MCS). The contribution of this approach is two-fold. First, it shows the impact of modeling interdependencies in predictive analytics. Second, it helps to understand which components interact with each other and to which degree they affect the deterioration state of corresponding components. As a result, our approach can identify and explain the existence of interdependencies within components. In particular, we demonstrate that <i>time from last change of component</i> is a valuable feature to quantify interdependencies. Moreover, we show that taking into account the interdependencies provides a statistically significant improvement of f1-score by 7% on average compared to the model where interdependencies are neglected. We expect that our findings will improve maintenance scheduling in the industry while improving prediction models in general.
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spelling doaj.art-c34fdb64e344457ba4a4a475e66b6a4e2023-11-17T07:19:04ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172023-02-01135308810.3390/app13053088Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAIMilot Gashi0Belgin Mutlu1Stefan Thalmann2Pro2future GmbH Graz, 8010 Graz, AustriaPro2future GmbH Graz, 8010 Graz, AustriaBusiness Analytics and Data Science Center, University of Graz, 8010 Graz, AustriaTaking the multi-component perspective in Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is one promising approach to improve prediction quality. Therefore, detection and modeling of interdependencies within systems are important, especially as systems become more complex and personalized. However, existing solutions in PdM mostly focus on a single-component perspective, neglecting the dependencies between components, even if interdependencies can be found between most components in the real world. The major reason for this lost opportunity is the challenge of identifying and modeling interdependencies between components. This paper introduces a framework to identify interdependencies and explain their impact on PdM within a Multi-Component System (MCS). The contribution of this approach is two-fold. First, it shows the impact of modeling interdependencies in predictive analytics. Second, it helps to understand which components interact with each other and to which degree they affect the deterioration state of corresponding components. As a result, our approach can identify and explain the existence of interdependencies within components. In particular, we demonstrate that <i>time from last change of component</i> is a valuable feature to quantify interdependencies. Moreover, we show that taking into account the interdependencies provides a statistically significant improvement of f1-score by 7% on average compared to the model where interdependencies are neglected. We expect that our findings will improve maintenance scheduling in the industry while improving prediction models in general.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/5/3088predictive maintenanceIndustry 4.0ShapleyXAIMulti-component SystemsInterdependencies
spellingShingle Milot Gashi
Belgin Mutlu
Stefan Thalmann
Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI
Applied Sciences
predictive maintenance
Industry 4.0
Shapley
XAI
Multi-component Systems
Interdependencies
title Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI
title_full Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI
title_fullStr Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI
title_short Impact of Interdependencies: Multi-Component System Perspective toward Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning and XAI
title_sort impact of interdependencies multi component system perspective toward predictive maintenance based on machine learning and xai
topic predictive maintenance
Industry 4.0
Shapley
XAI
Multi-component Systems
Interdependencies
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/5/3088
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AT belginmutlu impactofinterdependenciesmulticomponentsystemperspectivetowardpredictivemaintenancebasedonmachinelearningandxai
AT stefanthalmann impactofinterdependenciesmulticomponentsystemperspectivetowardpredictivemaintenancebasedonmachinelearningandxai