Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model

The occurrence of water scarcity and extreme hydrological events is becoming increasingly frequent worldwide. The river runoff process, as an important link in the water cycle of a basin, is an essential content of the study of hydrological processes in the basin. Vegetation is an influencing factor...

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Main Authors: Shuaijun Yue, Junchang Huang, Yali Zhang, Weiqiang Chen, Yulong Guo, Mingyue Cheng, Guangxing Ji
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1626
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author Shuaijun Yue
Junchang Huang
Yali Zhang
Weiqiang Chen
Yulong Guo
Mingyue Cheng
Guangxing Ji
author_facet Shuaijun Yue
Junchang Huang
Yali Zhang
Weiqiang Chen
Yulong Guo
Mingyue Cheng
Guangxing Ji
author_sort Shuaijun Yue
collection DOAJ
description The occurrence of water scarcity and extreme hydrological events is becoming increasingly frequent worldwide. The river runoff process, as an important link in the water cycle of a basin, is an essential content of the study of hydrological processes in the basin. Vegetation is an influencing factor closely related to hydrological processes in a watershed. This article quantitatively analyzes the impact of vegetation restoration and climate variation on runoff in the Luan River Basin from 1982 to 2018. Firstly, trend analysis was conducted on runoff depth, precipitation, the Normalized Vegetation Index (NDVI), and reference evaporation. Then, Mann–Kendall mutation analysis and Pettitt mutation analysis were used to identify the year of runoff mutation. Finally, a Budyko model was constructed to quantitatively analyze the impact of vegetation and climate change on the runoff of the Luan River. The results showed that: (1) The runoff reduction rate of the Luan River was 1.2437 mm/a. The precipitation was increasing at a rate of 0.6977 mm/a. The reference evaporation rate decreased at a rate of 0.0977 mm/a. The annual growth rate of the Budyko parameter (<i>n</i>) was 0.0283. The annual growth rate of NDVI was 0.0022. (2) The coefficient of determination in the functional equation (a = 14.74, b = −3.4105) for NDVI and Budyko parameter (<i>n</i>) was 0.3297 (<i>p</i> < 0.01). (3) The contributions of <i>Pr</i>, <i>ET</i><sub>0</sub>, NDVI, and (<i>n</i>) to reduced flow were −17.49%, 1.46%, 35.25%, and 80.78%, respectively. The increase in vegetation would lead to a decrease in runoff. This study can clarify the impact of vegetation restoration on water resource security in the Luan River Basin.
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spelling doaj.art-c416217253e34b6c97df485a276c4b912023-11-19T01:52:35ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2023-08-01128162610.3390/land12081626Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko ModelShuaijun Yue0Junchang Huang1Yali Zhang2Weiqiang Chen3Yulong Guo4Mingyue Cheng5Guangxing Ji6College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaThe occurrence of water scarcity and extreme hydrological events is becoming increasingly frequent worldwide. The river runoff process, as an important link in the water cycle of a basin, is an essential content of the study of hydrological processes in the basin. Vegetation is an influencing factor closely related to hydrological processes in a watershed. This article quantitatively analyzes the impact of vegetation restoration and climate variation on runoff in the Luan River Basin from 1982 to 2018. Firstly, trend analysis was conducted on runoff depth, precipitation, the Normalized Vegetation Index (NDVI), and reference evaporation. Then, Mann–Kendall mutation analysis and Pettitt mutation analysis were used to identify the year of runoff mutation. Finally, a Budyko model was constructed to quantitatively analyze the impact of vegetation and climate change on the runoff of the Luan River. The results showed that: (1) The runoff reduction rate of the Luan River was 1.2437 mm/a. The precipitation was increasing at a rate of 0.6977 mm/a. The reference evaporation rate decreased at a rate of 0.0977 mm/a. The annual growth rate of the Budyko parameter (<i>n</i>) was 0.0283. The annual growth rate of NDVI was 0.0022. (2) The coefficient of determination in the functional equation (a = 14.74, b = −3.4105) for NDVI and Budyko parameter (<i>n</i>) was 0.3297 (<i>p</i> < 0.01). (3) The contributions of <i>Pr</i>, <i>ET</i><sub>0</sub>, NDVI, and (<i>n</i>) to reduced flow were −17.49%, 1.46%, 35.25%, and 80.78%, respectively. The increase in vegetation would lead to a decrease in runoff. This study can clarify the impact of vegetation restoration on water resource security in the Luan River Basin.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1626Luan riverrunoffclimatehumanBudyko modelNDVI
spellingShingle Shuaijun Yue
Junchang Huang
Yali Zhang
Weiqiang Chen
Yulong Guo
Mingyue Cheng
Guangxing Ji
Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model
Land
Luan river
runoff
climate
human
Budyko model
NDVI
title Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model
title_full Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model
title_fullStr Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model
title_short Quantitative Evaluation of the Impact of Vegetation Restoration and Climate Variation on Runoff Attenuation in the Luan River Basin Based on the Extended Budyko Model
title_sort quantitative evaluation of the impact of vegetation restoration and climate variation on runoff attenuation in the luan river basin based on the extended budyko model
topic Luan river
runoff
climate
human
Budyko model
NDVI
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1626
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AT junchanghuang quantitativeevaluationoftheimpactofvegetationrestorationandclimatevariationonrunoffattenuationintheluanriverbasinbasedontheextendedbudykomodel
AT yalizhang quantitativeevaluationoftheimpactofvegetationrestorationandclimatevariationonrunoffattenuationintheluanriverbasinbasedontheextendedbudykomodel
AT weiqiangchen quantitativeevaluationoftheimpactofvegetationrestorationandclimatevariationonrunoffattenuationintheluanriverbasinbasedontheextendedbudykomodel
AT yulongguo quantitativeevaluationoftheimpactofvegetationrestorationandclimatevariationonrunoffattenuationintheluanriverbasinbasedontheextendedbudykomodel
AT mingyuecheng quantitativeevaluationoftheimpactofvegetationrestorationandclimatevariationonrunoffattenuationintheluanriverbasinbasedontheextendedbudykomodel
AT guangxingji quantitativeevaluationoftheimpactofvegetationrestorationandclimatevariationonrunoffattenuationintheluanriverbasinbasedontheextendedbudykomodel