The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective

<p>In 2018, large parts of northern Europe were affected by an extreme drought. A better understanding of the characteristics and the large-scale atmospheric circulation driving such events is of high importance to enhance drought forecasting and mitigation. This paper examines the historical...

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Main Authors: S. J. Bakke, M. Ionita, L. M. Tallaksen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-11-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/24/5621/2020/hess-24-5621-2020.pdf
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author S. J. Bakke
M. Ionita
L. M. Tallaksen
author_facet S. J. Bakke
M. Ionita
L. M. Tallaksen
author_sort S. J. Bakke
collection DOAJ
description <p>In 2018, large parts of northern Europe were affected by an extreme drought. A better understanding of the characteristics and the large-scale atmospheric circulation driving such events is of high importance to enhance drought forecasting and mitigation. This paper examines the historical extremeness of the May–August 2018 meteorological situation and the accompanying meteorological and hydrological (streamflow and groundwater) drought. Further, it investigates the relation between the large-scale atmospheric circulation and summer streamflow in the Nordic region. In May and July 2018, record-breaking temperatures were observed in large parts of northern Europe associated with blocking systems centred over Fennoscandia and sea surface temperature anomalies of more than 3&thinsp;<span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C in the Baltic Sea. Extreme meteorological drought, as indicated by the 3-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI3) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI3), was observed in May and covered large parts of northern Europe by July. Streamflow drought in the Nordic region started to develop in June, and in July 68&thinsp;% of the stations had record-low or near-record-low streamflow. Extreme streamflow conditions persisted in the southeastern part of the region throughout 2018. Many groundwater wells had record-low or near-record-low levels in July and August. However, extremeness in groundwater levels and (to a lesser degree) streamflow showed a diverse spatial pattern. This points to the role of local terrestrial processes in controlling the hydrological response to meteorological conditions. Composite analysis of low summer streamflow and 500&thinsp;mbar geopotential height anomalies revealed two distinct patterns of summer streamflow variability: one in western and northern Norway and one in the rest of the region. Low summer streamflow in western and northern Norway was related to high-pressure systems centred over the Norwegian Sea. In the rest of the Nordic region, low summer streamflow was associated with a high-pressure system over the North Sea and a low-pressure system over Greenland and Russia, resembling the pattern of 2018. This study provides new insight into hydrometeorological aspects of the 2018 northern European drought and identifies large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns associated with summer streamflow drought in the Nordic region.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-c440fd25da4345448c6e3e066e9d01b62022-12-21T22:53:10ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382020-11-01245621565310.5194/hess-24-5621-2020The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspectiveS. J. Bakke0M. Ionita1L. M. Tallaksen2Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, NorwayAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, GermanyDepartment of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway<p>In 2018, large parts of northern Europe were affected by an extreme drought. A better understanding of the characteristics and the large-scale atmospheric circulation driving such events is of high importance to enhance drought forecasting and mitigation. This paper examines the historical extremeness of the May–August 2018 meteorological situation and the accompanying meteorological and hydrological (streamflow and groundwater) drought. Further, it investigates the relation between the large-scale atmospheric circulation and summer streamflow in the Nordic region. In May and July 2018, record-breaking temperatures were observed in large parts of northern Europe associated with blocking systems centred over Fennoscandia and sea surface temperature anomalies of more than 3&thinsp;<span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C in the Baltic Sea. Extreme meteorological drought, as indicated by the 3-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI3) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI3), was observed in May and covered large parts of northern Europe by July. Streamflow drought in the Nordic region started to develop in June, and in July 68&thinsp;% of the stations had record-low or near-record-low streamflow. Extreme streamflow conditions persisted in the southeastern part of the region throughout 2018. Many groundwater wells had record-low or near-record-low levels in July and August. However, extremeness in groundwater levels and (to a lesser degree) streamflow showed a diverse spatial pattern. This points to the role of local terrestrial processes in controlling the hydrological response to meteorological conditions. Composite analysis of low summer streamflow and 500&thinsp;mbar geopotential height anomalies revealed two distinct patterns of summer streamflow variability: one in western and northern Norway and one in the rest of the region. Low summer streamflow in western and northern Norway was related to high-pressure systems centred over the Norwegian Sea. In the rest of the Nordic region, low summer streamflow was associated with a high-pressure system over the North Sea and a low-pressure system over Greenland and Russia, resembling the pattern of 2018. This study provides new insight into hydrometeorological aspects of the 2018 northern European drought and identifies large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns associated with summer streamflow drought in the Nordic region.</p>https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/24/5621/2020/hess-24-5621-2020.pdf
spellingShingle S. J. Bakke
M. Ionita
L. M. Tallaksen
The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
title_full The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
title_fullStr The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
title_full_unstemmed The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
title_short The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
title_sort 2018 northern european hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
url https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/24/5621/2020/hess-24-5621-2020.pdf
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