Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions

Abstract Expectations are often dynamic: sports fans know that expectations are rapidly updated as games unfold. Yet expectations have traditionally been studied as static. Here we present behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second changes in expectations using slot machines as a cas...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Déborah Marciano, Ludovic Bellier, Ida Mayer, Michael Ruvalcaba, Sangil Lee, Ming Hsu, Robert T. Knight
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-08-01
Series:Communications Biology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-023-05199-x
_version_ 1797557167021096960
author Déborah Marciano
Ludovic Bellier
Ida Mayer
Michael Ruvalcaba
Sangil Lee
Ming Hsu
Robert T. Knight
author_facet Déborah Marciano
Ludovic Bellier
Ida Mayer
Michael Ruvalcaba
Sangil Lee
Ming Hsu
Robert T. Knight
author_sort Déborah Marciano
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Expectations are often dynamic: sports fans know that expectations are rapidly updated as games unfold. Yet expectations have traditionally been studied as static. Here we present behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second changes in expectations using slot machines as a case study. In Study 1, we demonstrate that EEG signal before the slot machine stops varies based on proximity to winning. Study 2 introduces a behavioral paradigm to measure dynamic expectations via betting, and shows that expectation trajectories vary as a function of winning proximity. Notably, these expectation trajectories parallel Study 1’s EEG activity. Studies 3 (EEG) and 4 (behavioral) replicate these findings in the loss domain. These four studies provide compelling evidence that dynamic sub-second updates in expectations can be behaviorally and electrophysiologically measured. Our research opens promising avenues for understanding the dynamic nature of reward expectations and their impact on cognitive processes.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T17:13:30Z
format Article
id doaj.art-c459c9e5604e4420a5c1829d63c487c4
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2399-3642
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T17:13:30Z
publishDate 2023-08-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Communications Biology
spelling doaj.art-c459c9e5604e4420a5c1829d63c487c42023-11-20T10:34:42ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Biology2399-36422023-08-016111410.1038/s42003-023-05199-xDynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictionsDéborah Marciano0Ludovic Bellier1Ida Mayer2Michael Ruvalcaba3Sangil Lee4Ming Hsu5Robert T. Knight6Helen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, BerkeleyAbstract Expectations are often dynamic: sports fans know that expectations are rapidly updated as games unfold. Yet expectations have traditionally been studied as static. Here we present behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second changes in expectations using slot machines as a case study. In Study 1, we demonstrate that EEG signal before the slot machine stops varies based on proximity to winning. Study 2 introduces a behavioral paradigm to measure dynamic expectations via betting, and shows that expectation trajectories vary as a function of winning proximity. Notably, these expectation trajectories parallel Study 1’s EEG activity. Studies 3 (EEG) and 4 (behavioral) replicate these findings in the loss domain. These four studies provide compelling evidence that dynamic sub-second updates in expectations can be behaviorally and electrophysiologically measured. Our research opens promising avenues for understanding the dynamic nature of reward expectations and their impact on cognitive processes.https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-023-05199-x
spellingShingle Déborah Marciano
Ludovic Bellier
Ida Mayer
Michael Ruvalcaba
Sangil Lee
Ming Hsu
Robert T. Knight
Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions
Communications Biology
title Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions
title_full Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions
title_fullStr Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions
title_short Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions
title_sort dynamic expectations behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub second updates in reward predictions
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-023-05199-x
work_keys_str_mv AT deborahmarciano dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions
AT ludovicbellier dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions
AT idamayer dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions
AT michaelruvalcaba dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions
AT sangillee dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions
AT minghsu dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions
AT roberttknight dynamicexpectationsbehavioralandelectrophysiologicalevidenceofsubsecondupdatesinrewardpredictions