Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic

When assessing the cost of construction and operation of transport infrastructure in the early stages of the investment process, there is a problem in the formalization of some indicators of the factors influencing decision-making. The temporary impossibility to express them in monetary or comparable...

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Main Authors: A. G. Tutygin, V. B. Korobov, M. H. Gubaidullin, L. A. Chizhova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration 2019-02-01
Series:Управленческое консультирование
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/997
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author A. G. Tutygin
V. B. Korobov
M. H. Gubaidullin
L. A. Chizhova
author_facet A. G. Tutygin
V. B. Korobov
M. H. Gubaidullin
L. A. Chizhova
author_sort A. G. Tutygin
collection DOAJ
description When assessing the cost of construction and operation of transport infrastructure in the early stages of the investment process, there is a problem in the formalization of some indicators of the factors influencing decision-making. The temporary impossibility to express them in monetary or comparable natural quantities leads to uncertainty in the ratio between these two groups of factors. On the example of one of the discussed objects of oil transport infrastructure in the territory of the Russian Arctic, quantitative estimates of such uncertainties are obtained, the value of which was very weighty and variable depending on the considered alternative. The authors propose an approach based on the vector representation of factors, fuzzy set theory and expert estimates, which allows developing a criterion of the limit value of uncertainty, allowing making management decisions in the problems of choice. The corresponding model giving the possibility of calculation of such criterion is constructed.
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spelling doaj.art-c4b26d59a8514a53846ec77dccd0b3de2024-02-29T09:36:13ZengNorth-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationУправленческое консультирование1726-11391816-85902019-02-0101211011710.22394/1726-1139-2018-12-110-117968Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the ArcticA. G. Tutygin0V. B. Korobov1M. H. Gubaidullin2L. A. Chizhova3Federal Center for Integrated Arctic Research named after Academician N. P. Laverov of Russian Academy of SciencesFederal Center for Integrated Arctic Research named after Academician N. P. Laverov of Russian Academy of Sciences; Institute of Oceanology named after P. P. Shirshov of Russian Academy of SciencesFederal Center for Integrated Arctic Research named after Academician N. P. Laverov of Russian Academy of Sciences; Northern Arctic Federal University named after M. V. LomonosovFederal Center for Integrated Arctic Research named after Academician N. P. Laverov of Russian Academy of SciencesWhen assessing the cost of construction and operation of transport infrastructure in the early stages of the investment process, there is a problem in the formalization of some indicators of the factors influencing decision-making. The temporary impossibility to express them in monetary or comparable natural quantities leads to uncertainty in the ratio between these two groups of factors. On the example of one of the discussed objects of oil transport infrastructure in the territory of the Russian Arctic, quantitative estimates of such uncertainties are obtained, the value of which was very weighty and variable depending on the considered alternative. The authors propose an approach based on the vector representation of factors, fuzzy set theory and expert estimates, which allows developing a criterion of the limit value of uncertainty, allowing making management decisions in the problems of choice. The corresponding model giving the possibility of calculation of such criterion is constructed.https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/997arctic zone of the russian federationtransport infrastructureselection problemmanagement decisionmodelnatural and environmental factorseconomic factors
spellingShingle A. G. Tutygin
V. B. Korobov
M. H. Gubaidullin
L. A. Chizhova
Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic
Управленческое консультирование
arctic zone of the russian federation
transport infrastructure
selection problem
management decision
model
natural and environmental factors
economic factors
title Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic
title_full Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic
title_fullStr Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic
title_full_unstemmed Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic
title_short Expert Assessment of a Ratio of Expenses at Construction of Oil Transport Infrastructure in the Arctic
title_sort expert assessment of a ratio of expenses at construction of oil transport infrastructure in the arctic
topic arctic zone of the russian federation
transport infrastructure
selection problem
management decision
model
natural and environmental factors
economic factors
url https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/997
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AT vbkorobov expertassessmentofaratioofexpensesatconstructionofoiltransportinfrastructureinthearctic
AT mhgubaidullin expertassessmentofaratioofexpensesatconstructionofoiltransportinfrastructureinthearctic
AT lachizhova expertassessmentofaratioofexpensesatconstructionofoiltransportinfrastructureinthearctic