PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK

Streamflow prediction is often a challenging issue for snow dominated basins where proper in-situ snow data might be limited and the snow physics is highly complex. The main aim of this study is to propose an alternative modeling solution by considering both accessibility of the inputs and simplicit...

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Main Authors: Aynur Sensoy, Gökçen Uysal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Bursa Uludag University 2020-12-01
Series:Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/uumfd/issue/57911/787147
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author Aynur Sensoy
Gökçen Uysal
author_facet Aynur Sensoy
Gökçen Uysal
author_sort Aynur Sensoy
collection DOAJ
description Streamflow prediction is often a challenging issue for snow dominated basins where proper in-situ snow data might be limited and the snow physics is highly complex. The main aim of this study is to propose an alternative modeling solution by considering both accessibility of the inputs and simplicity of the model structure. We propose Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) model approach which takes probabilistic snow cover area in order to produce probabilistic streamflow in the mountainous basins. For the sake of the accessibility of the input data, snow probability maps are produced from cloud-free images of MODIS. The WNN model is trained and tested with observed hydro-meteorological data. Also, MultiLayer Perceptron Model (MLP) is used as a benchmark model. The approach is tested in a snow-dominated headwater (in altitude from 1559 to 3508 m) of Murat River which has a great importance as being one of the main tributaries of Euphrates River. According to the results, the approach is capable of detecting snow distribution in the area of interest and WNN is promising to generate probabilistic streamflow predictions.
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spelling doaj.art-c53ba5eb522a4d358eff54f05bc691592023-02-15T16:16:25ZengBursa Uludag UniversityUludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering2148-41472148-41552020-12-012531139115410.17482/uumfd.7871471779PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORKAynur Sensoy0Gökçen Uysal1Eskişehir Teknik ÜniversitesiEskişehir Teknik ÜniversitesiStreamflow prediction is often a challenging issue for snow dominated basins where proper in-situ snow data might be limited and the snow physics is highly complex. The main aim of this study is to propose an alternative modeling solution by considering both accessibility of the inputs and simplicity of the model structure. We propose Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) model approach which takes probabilistic snow cover area in order to produce probabilistic streamflow in the mountainous basins. For the sake of the accessibility of the input data, snow probability maps are produced from cloud-free images of MODIS. The WNN model is trained and tested with observed hydro-meteorological data. Also, MultiLayer Perceptron Model (MLP) is used as a benchmark model. The approach is tested in a snow-dominated headwater (in altitude from 1559 to 3508 m) of Murat River which has a great importance as being one of the main tributaries of Euphrates River. According to the results, the approach is capable of detecting snow distribution in the area of interest and WNN is promising to generate probabilistic streamflow predictions.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/uumfd/issue/57911/787147snowmelt modelingwavelet neural networkeuphrates river basinstreamflow forecastingsatellite snow datakar erimesi modellemedalgacık sinir ağıfırat nehri havzasıakım tahminiuydu kar verisi
spellingShingle Aynur Sensoy
Gökçen Uysal
PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering
snowmelt modeling
wavelet neural network
euphrates river basin
streamflow forecasting
satellite snow data
kar erimesi modelleme
dalgacık sinir ağı
fırat nehri havzası
akım tahmini
uydu kar verisi
title PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
title_full PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
title_fullStr PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
title_full_unstemmed PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
title_short PROBABILISTIC RUNOFF MODELING APPROACH IN MOUNTAINOUS BASINS BASED ON SATELLITE SNOW DATA AND WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK
title_sort probabilistic runoff modeling approach in mountainous basins based on satellite snow data and wavelet neural network
topic snowmelt modeling
wavelet neural network
euphrates river basin
streamflow forecasting
satellite snow data
kar erimesi modelleme
dalgacık sinir ağı
fırat nehri havzası
akım tahmini
uydu kar verisi
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/uumfd/issue/57911/787147
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AT gokcenuysal probabilisticrunoffmodelingapproachinmountainousbasinsbasedonsatellitesnowdataandwaveletneuralnetwork