A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration

In the field of orthodontics, providing patients with accurate treatment time estimates is of utmost importance. As orthodontic practices continue to evolve and embrace new advancements, incorporating machine learning (ML) methods becomes increasingly valuable in improving orthodontic diagnosis and...

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Main Authors: James Volovic, Sarkhan Badirli, Sunna Ahmad, Landon Leavitt, Taylor Mason, Surya Sruthi Bhamidipalli, George Eckert, David Albright, Hakan Turkkahraman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Diagnostics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/13/17/2740
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author James Volovic
Sarkhan Badirli
Sunna Ahmad
Landon Leavitt
Taylor Mason
Surya Sruthi Bhamidipalli
George Eckert
David Albright
Hakan Turkkahraman
author_facet James Volovic
Sarkhan Badirli
Sunna Ahmad
Landon Leavitt
Taylor Mason
Surya Sruthi Bhamidipalli
George Eckert
David Albright
Hakan Turkkahraman
author_sort James Volovic
collection DOAJ
description In the field of orthodontics, providing patients with accurate treatment time estimates is of utmost importance. As orthodontic practices continue to evolve and embrace new advancements, incorporating machine learning (ML) methods becomes increasingly valuable in improving orthodontic diagnosis and treatment planning. This study aimed to develop a novel ML model capable of predicting the orthodontic treatment duration based on essential pre-treatment variables. Patients who completed comprehensive orthodontic treatment at the Indiana University School of Dentistry were included in this retrospective study. Fifty-seven pre-treatment variables were collected and used to train and test nine different ML models. The performance of each model was assessed using descriptive statistics, intraclass correlation coefficients, and one-way analysis of variance tests. Random Forest, Lasso, and Elastic Net were found to be the most accurate, with a mean absolute error of 7.27 months in predicting treatment duration. Extraction decision, COVID, intermaxillary relationship, lower incisor position, and additional appliances were identified as important predictors of treatment duration. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of ML in predicting orthodontic treatment duration using pre-treatment variables.
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spelling doaj.art-c54e4891c3ff4c40b6747023581d75c02023-11-19T07:58:57ZengMDPI AGDiagnostics2075-44182023-08-011317274010.3390/diagnostics13172740A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment DurationJames Volovic0Sarkhan Badirli1Sunna Ahmad2Landon Leavitt3Taylor Mason4Surya Sruthi Bhamidipalli5George Eckert6David Albright7Hakan Turkkahraman8Department of Orthodontics and Oral Facial Genetics, Indiana University School of Dentistry, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USAEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USADepartment of Orthodontics and Oral Facial Genetics, Indiana University School of Dentistry, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USADepartment of Orthodontics and Oral Facial Genetics, Indiana University School of Dentistry, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USADepartment of Orthodontics and Oral Facial Genetics, Indiana University School of Dentistry, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USADepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Science, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USADepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Science, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USADepartment of Orthodontics and Oral Facial Genetics, Indiana University School of Dentistry, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USADepartment of Orthodontics and Oral Facial Genetics, Indiana University School of Dentistry, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USAIn the field of orthodontics, providing patients with accurate treatment time estimates is of utmost importance. As orthodontic practices continue to evolve and embrace new advancements, incorporating machine learning (ML) methods becomes increasingly valuable in improving orthodontic diagnosis and treatment planning. This study aimed to develop a novel ML model capable of predicting the orthodontic treatment duration based on essential pre-treatment variables. Patients who completed comprehensive orthodontic treatment at the Indiana University School of Dentistry were included in this retrospective study. Fifty-seven pre-treatment variables were collected and used to train and test nine different ML models. The performance of each model was assessed using descriptive statistics, intraclass correlation coefficients, and one-way analysis of variance tests. Random Forest, Lasso, and Elastic Net were found to be the most accurate, with a mean absolute error of 7.27 months in predicting treatment duration. Extraction decision, COVID, intermaxillary relationship, lower incisor position, and additional appliances were identified as important predictors of treatment duration. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of ML in predicting orthodontic treatment duration using pre-treatment variables.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/13/17/2740orthodonticstreatment durationmachine learningartificial intelligence
spellingShingle James Volovic
Sarkhan Badirli
Sunna Ahmad
Landon Leavitt
Taylor Mason
Surya Sruthi Bhamidipalli
George Eckert
David Albright
Hakan Turkkahraman
A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration
Diagnostics
orthodontics
treatment duration
machine learning
artificial intelligence
title A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration
title_full A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration
title_fullStr A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration
title_short A Novel Machine Learning Model for Predicting Orthodontic Treatment Duration
title_sort novel machine learning model for predicting orthodontic treatment duration
topic orthodontics
treatment duration
machine learning
artificial intelligence
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/13/17/2740
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