Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence

This paper considers a long dataset of both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices and the Commodity (fuel) energy index (CEI) to identify possible bubbles. Using the Supremum Augmented Dickey–Fuller (SADF) test, we compare results from WTI and Brent with CEI. We prove that the CEI...

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Main Authors: Christos Floros, Georgios Galyfianakis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/24/6648
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author Christos Floros
Georgios Galyfianakis
author_facet Christos Floros
Georgios Galyfianakis
author_sort Christos Floros
collection DOAJ
description This paper considers a long dataset of both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices and the Commodity (fuel) energy index (CEI) to identify possible bubbles. Using the Supremum Augmented Dickey–Fuller (SADF) test, we compare results from WTI and Brent with CEI. We prove that the CEI follows Brent crude oil (they provide similar bubble periods) and that Brent is recognized as a crude oil benchmark. Financial managers should incorporate it into their analysis and forecasts. The findings are strongly recommended to energy policymakers and investors.
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spelling doaj.art-c573e8b0e1674696b1780e253c7acf5d2023-11-21T01:05:30ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732020-12-011324664810.3390/en13246648Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New EvidenceChristos Floros0Georgios Galyfianakis1Department of Accounting and Finance, Laboratory of Accounting and Financial Management (LAFIM), Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71004 Heraklion, GreeceDepartment of Accounting and Finance, Laboratory of Accounting and Financial Management (LAFIM), Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71004 Heraklion, GreeceThis paper considers a long dataset of both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices and the Commodity (fuel) energy index (CEI) to identify possible bubbles. Using the Supremum Augmented Dickey–Fuller (SADF) test, we compare results from WTI and Brent with CEI. We prove that the CEI follows Brent crude oil (they provide similar bubble periods) and that Brent is recognized as a crude oil benchmark. Financial managers should incorporate it into their analysis and forecasts. The findings are strongly recommended to energy policymakers and investors.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/24/6648bubblesenergy pricesSADFcrude oilbrentWTI
spellingShingle Christos Floros
Georgios Galyfianakis
Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence
Energies
bubbles
energy prices
SADF
crude oil
brent
WTI
title Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence
title_full Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence
title_fullStr Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence
title_short Bubbles in Crude Oil and Commodity Energy Index: New Evidence
title_sort bubbles in crude oil and commodity energy index new evidence
topic bubbles
energy prices
SADF
crude oil
brent
WTI
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/24/6648
work_keys_str_mv AT christosfloros bubblesincrudeoilandcommodityenergyindexnewevidence
AT georgiosgalyfianakis bubblesincrudeoilandcommodityenergyindexnewevidence