A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets

Several measures of volatility have been developed in order to quantify the degree of uncertainty of an energy price series, which include historical volatility and price velocities, among others. This paper suggests using the permutation entropy, topological entropy and the modified permutation ent...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Antonio Gabaldón, Antonio Guillamón, María del Carmen Ruiz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2012-01-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/14/1/74/
_version_ 1817994298569785344
author Antonio Gabaldón
Antonio Guillamón
María del Carmen Ruiz
author_facet Antonio Gabaldón
Antonio Guillamón
María del Carmen Ruiz
author_sort Antonio Gabaldón
collection DOAJ
description Several measures of volatility have been developed in order to quantify the degree of uncertainty of an energy price series, which include historical volatility and price velocities, among others. This paper suggests using the permutation entropy, topological entropy and the modified permutation entropy as alternatives to measure volatility in energy markets. Simulated data show that these measures are more appropriate to quantify the uncertainty associated to a time series than those based on the standard deviation or other measures of dispersion. Finally, the proposed method is applied to some typical electricity markets: Nord Pool, Ontario, Omel and four Australian markets.
first_indexed 2024-04-14T01:51:03Z
format Article
id doaj.art-c598f6606a234d57a9d9871943d1947c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1099-4300
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-14T01:51:03Z
publishDate 2012-01-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Entropy
spelling doaj.art-c598f6606a234d57a9d9871943d1947c2022-12-22T02:19:22ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002012-01-01141749110.3390/e14010074A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy MarketsAntonio GabaldónAntonio GuillamónMaría del Carmen RuizSeveral measures of volatility have been developed in order to quantify the degree of uncertainty of an energy price series, which include historical volatility and price velocities, among others. This paper suggests using the permutation entropy, topological entropy and the modified permutation entropy as alternatives to measure volatility in energy markets. Simulated data show that these measures are more appropriate to quantify the uncertainty associated to a time series than those based on the standard deviation or other measures of dispersion. Finally, the proposed method is applied to some typical electricity markets: Nord Pool, Ontario, Omel and four Australian markets.http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/14/1/74/volatilityentropypower markets
spellingShingle Antonio Gabaldón
Antonio Guillamón
María del Carmen Ruiz
A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets
Entropy
volatility
entropy
power markets
title A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets
title_full A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets
title_fullStr A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets
title_full_unstemmed A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets
title_short A New Approach to Measure Volatility in Energy Markets
title_sort new approach to measure volatility in energy markets
topic volatility
entropy
power markets
url http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/14/1/74/
work_keys_str_mv AT antoniogabaldon anewapproachtomeasurevolatilityinenergymarkets
AT antonioguillamon anewapproachtomeasurevolatilityinenergymarkets
AT mariadelcarmenruiz anewapproachtomeasurevolatilityinenergymarkets
AT antoniogabaldon newapproachtomeasurevolatilityinenergymarkets
AT antonioguillamon newapproachtomeasurevolatilityinenergymarkets
AT mariadelcarmenruiz newapproachtomeasurevolatilityinenergymarkets