Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam

ABSTRACTClimate change and increasing climatic variability have exacerbated the climate-related effects on various aspects of human socioeconomic activity. The effects of droughts on crop production, household expenditure, rural poverty and internal migration in Vietnam were investigated using a uni...

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Main Authors: Nguyen Minh Hien, Nguyen Duc Kien, Kawabata Koji
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Development Studies Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/21665095.2023.2202823
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author Nguyen Minh Hien
Nguyen Duc Kien
Kawabata Koji
author_facet Nguyen Minh Hien
Nguyen Duc Kien
Kawabata Koji
author_sort Nguyen Minh Hien
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACTClimate change and increasing climatic variability have exacerbated the climate-related effects on various aspects of human socioeconomic activity. The effects of droughts on crop production, household expenditure, rural poverty and internal migration in Vietnam were investigated using a unique panel dataset while controlling for potential issues that could lead to biased estimations. We find comprehensive evidence that droughts not only caused a significant decline in rice productivity and rural household consumption, but also pushed them into poverty. Furthermore, droughts are strongly linked to rural people's decisions to migrate to other areas, pushing migration decisions through the productivity, consumption and poverty channels. Understanding the complex relationship between climate change, particularly drought, and its consequences is critical for developing policy interventions to help rural populations cope with climate change risks and uncertainties. These findings emphasize the importance of increasing rural populations’ resilience to climate-related extreme events to mitigate their interconnected effects.
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spelling doaj.art-c59cd54ee8b84992856ff91021afaf312023-12-13T04:57:02ZengTaylor & Francis GroupDevelopment Studies Research2166-50952023-12-0110110.1080/21665095.2023.2202823Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from VietnamNguyen Minh Hien0Nguyen Duc Kien1Kawabata Koji2University of Economics, Hue University, Hue City, VietnamUniversity of Economics, Hue University, Hue City, VietnamGraduate School of International Cooperation Studies, Kobe University, Kobe, JapanABSTRACTClimate change and increasing climatic variability have exacerbated the climate-related effects on various aspects of human socioeconomic activity. The effects of droughts on crop production, household expenditure, rural poverty and internal migration in Vietnam were investigated using a unique panel dataset while controlling for potential issues that could lead to biased estimations. We find comprehensive evidence that droughts not only caused a significant decline in rice productivity and rural household consumption, but also pushed them into poverty. Furthermore, droughts are strongly linked to rural people's decisions to migrate to other areas, pushing migration decisions through the productivity, consumption and poverty channels. Understanding the complex relationship between climate change, particularly drought, and its consequences is critical for developing policy interventions to help rural populations cope with climate change risks and uncertainties. These findings emphasize the importance of increasing rural populations’ resilience to climate-related extreme events to mitigate their interconnected effects.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/21665095.2023.2202823Drought-induced impactsrice productionfarming householdsVietnam
spellingShingle Nguyen Minh Hien
Nguyen Duc Kien
Kawabata Koji
Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam
Development Studies Research
Drought-induced impacts
rice production
farming households
Vietnam
title Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam
title_full Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam
title_fullStr Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam
title_short Impacts of Climate Variation on Rural Populations: Evidence from Vietnam
title_sort impacts of climate variation on rural populations evidence from vietnam
topic Drought-induced impacts
rice production
farming households
Vietnam
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/21665095.2023.2202823
work_keys_str_mv AT nguyenminhhien impactsofclimatevariationonruralpopulationsevidencefromvietnam
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AT kawabatakoji impactsofclimatevariationonruralpopulationsevidencefromvietnam