The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models

The landscape of financial credit risk models is changing rapidly. This study takes a brief look into the future of predictive modelling by considering some factors that influence financial credit risk modelling. The first factor is machine learning. As machine learning expands, it becomes necessary...

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Main Authors: Tanja Verster, Erika Fourie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:International Journal of Financial Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/11/3/98
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author Tanja Verster
Erika Fourie
author_facet Tanja Verster
Erika Fourie
author_sort Tanja Verster
collection DOAJ
description The landscape of financial credit risk models is changing rapidly. This study takes a brief look into the future of predictive modelling by considering some factors that influence financial credit risk modelling. The first factor is machine learning. As machine learning expands, it becomes necessary to understand how these techniques work and how they can be applied. The second factor is financial crises. Where predictive models view the future as a reflection of the past, financial crises can violate this assumption. This creates a new field of research on how to adjust predictive models to incorporate forward-looking conditions, which include future expected financial crises. The third factor considers the impact of financial technology (Fintech) on the future of predictive modelling. Fintech creates new applications for predictive modelling and therefore broadens the possibilities in the financial predictive modelling field. This changing landscape causes some challenges but also creates a wealth of opportunities. One way of exploiting these opportunities and managing the associated risks is via industry collaboration. Academics should join hands with industry to create industry-focused training and industry-focused research. In summary, this study made three novel contributions to the field of financial credit risk models. Firstly, it conducts an investigation and provides a comprehensive discussion on three factors that contribute to rapid changes in the credit risk predictive models’ landscape. Secondly, it presents a unique discussion of the challenges and opportunities arising from these factors. Lastly, it proposes an innovative solution, specifically collaboration between academic and industry partners, to effectively manage the challenges and take advantage of the opportunities for mutual benefits.
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spelling doaj.art-c59ff58f733548c588af10d2e250e97b2023-09-27T13:11:09ZengMDPI AGInternational Journal of Financial Studies2227-70722023-08-0111989810.3390/ijfs11030098The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk ModelsTanja Verster0Erika Fourie1Centre for Business Mathematics and Informatics, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2531, South AfricaPure and Applied Analytics, School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2531, South AfricaThe landscape of financial credit risk models is changing rapidly. This study takes a brief look into the future of predictive modelling by considering some factors that influence financial credit risk modelling. The first factor is machine learning. As machine learning expands, it becomes necessary to understand how these techniques work and how they can be applied. The second factor is financial crises. Where predictive models view the future as a reflection of the past, financial crises can violate this assumption. This creates a new field of research on how to adjust predictive models to incorporate forward-looking conditions, which include future expected financial crises. The third factor considers the impact of financial technology (Fintech) on the future of predictive modelling. Fintech creates new applications for predictive modelling and therefore broadens the possibilities in the financial predictive modelling field. This changing landscape causes some challenges but also creates a wealth of opportunities. One way of exploiting these opportunities and managing the associated risks is via industry collaboration. Academics should join hands with industry to create industry-focused training and industry-focused research. In summary, this study made three novel contributions to the field of financial credit risk models. Firstly, it conducts an investigation and provides a comprehensive discussion on three factors that contribute to rapid changes in the credit risk predictive models’ landscape. Secondly, it presents a unique discussion of the challenges and opportunities arising from these factors. Lastly, it proposes an innovative solution, specifically collaboration between academic and industry partners, to effectively manage the challenges and take advantage of the opportunities for mutual benefits.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/11/3/98financial credit risk modellingmachine learningindustry collaborationFintechfinancial crises
spellingShingle Tanja Verster
Erika Fourie
The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models
International Journal of Financial Studies
financial credit risk modelling
machine learning
industry collaboration
Fintech
financial crises
title The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models
title_full The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models
title_fullStr The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models
title_full_unstemmed The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models
title_short The Changing Landscape of Financial Credit Risk Models
title_sort changing landscape of financial credit risk models
topic financial credit risk modelling
machine learning
industry collaboration
Fintech
financial crises
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/11/3/98
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