Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars

Policy-makers should perform a cost-benefit analysis before initiating a war. This article describes a methodology for such assessment, and applies it post hoc to five military actions undertaken by the United States between 1950 and 2000 (the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the invasion of Grenada, th...

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Main Authors: Diane Hu, Andrew Cooper, Neel Desai, Sophie Guo, Steven Shi, David Banks
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2019-01-01
Series:Statistics and Public Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/2330443X.2019.1688740
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author Diane Hu
Andrew Cooper
Neel Desai
Sophie Guo
Steven Shi
David Banks
author_facet Diane Hu
Andrew Cooper
Neel Desai
Sophie Guo
Steven Shi
David Banks
author_sort Diane Hu
collection DOAJ
description Policy-makers should perform a cost-benefit analysis before initiating a war. This article describes a methodology for such assessment, and applies it post hoc to five military actions undertaken by the United States between 1950 and 2000 (the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the invasion of Grenada, the invasion of Panama, and the First Gulf War). The analysis identifies three broad categories of value: human capital, economic outcomes, and national influence. Different stakeholders (politicians, generals, industry, etc.) may assign different weights to these three categories, so this analysis tabulates each separately, and then, as may sometimes be necessary, monetizes them for unified comparison.
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spelling doaj.art-c5c79ea4c8b94c48b01f75e3c4b888f82022-12-22T00:23:27ZengTaylor & Francis GroupStatistics and Public Policy2330-443X2019-01-01619810610.1080/2330443X.2019.16887401688740Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary WarsDiane Hu0Andrew Cooper1Neel Desai2Sophie Guo3Steven Shi4David Banks5Duke UniversityDuke UniversityDuke UniversityDuke UniversityDuke UniversityDuke UniversityPolicy-makers should perform a cost-benefit analysis before initiating a war. This article describes a methodology for such assessment, and applies it post hoc to five military actions undertaken by the United States between 1950 and 2000 (the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the invasion of Grenada, the invasion of Panama, and the First Gulf War). The analysis identifies three broad categories of value: human capital, economic outcomes, and national influence. Different stakeholders (politicians, generals, industry, etc.) may assign different weights to these three categories, so this analysis tabulates each separately, and then, as may sometimes be necessary, monetizes them for unified comparison.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/2330443X.2019.1688740cost-benefit analysisrisk analysisvalue of a statistical life
spellingShingle Diane Hu
Andrew Cooper
Neel Desai
Sophie Guo
Steven Shi
David Banks
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars
Statistics and Public Policy
cost-benefit analysis
risk analysis
value of a statistical life
title Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars
title_full Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars
title_fullStr Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars
title_full_unstemmed Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars
title_short Cost-Benefit Analysis of Discretionary Wars
title_sort cost benefit analysis of discretionary wars
topic cost-benefit analysis
risk analysis
value of a statistical life
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/2330443X.2019.1688740
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