COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach

The study examined the nexus between the COVID-19 pandemic and the market volatility of the global markets. For this purpose, a 30-country sample was used based on the most COVID-19 cases and deaths during the study period, from January 1 to December 12, 2020. We employed panel quantile regression a...

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Main Authors: Sabeeh Ullah, Sumaira Khan, Nazia Iqbal Hashmi, Md Shabbir Alam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-10-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023083391
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author Sabeeh Ullah
Sumaira Khan
Nazia Iqbal Hashmi
Md Shabbir Alam
author_facet Sabeeh Ullah
Sumaira Khan
Nazia Iqbal Hashmi
Md Shabbir Alam
author_sort Sabeeh Ullah
collection DOAJ
description The study examined the nexus between the COVID-19 pandemic and the market volatility of the global markets. For this purpose, a 30-country sample was used based on the most COVID-19 cases and deaths during the study period, from January 1 to December 12, 2020. We employed panel quantile regression and Panel Estimated Generalized Least Square (Panel-EGLS) frameworks to analyze the influence of COVID-19 on volatility in the whole sample and subsamples of emerging and developed markets. Our results of Panel-EGLS showed that the new cases and deaths positively impact volatility in the naïve and control models. The results from quantile regression also illustrated that new deaths and cases have positively influenced market volatility at the 50th and 75th quantiles. From the subsamples, our results demonstrate almost similar signs and significance for the impact of COVID-19 on market volatility in developed and emerging markets in both the naïve and control models. Both the results illustrate that any increase in COVID-19 positively caused volatility in the whole and subsamples at the mean and upper quantile levels. Our results necessitate coordinated global government actions to stabilize markets, mitigate volatility's impact by proactive policies in future health crises, and underscore a monetary policy for stability.
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spelling doaj.art-c5f0c0735327493ea2e1f2264b273cd12023-10-30T06:08:23ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-10-01910e21131COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approachSabeeh Ullah0Sumaira Khan1Nazia Iqbal Hashmi2Md Shabbir Alam3Institute of Business and Management Sciences (IBMS), Faculty of Management & Computer Sciences (FMCS), The University of Agriculture, Peshawar, Pakistan; Corresponding author.Department of Management Sciences, Women University, Swabi, PakistanDepartment of Finance, College of Business Administration, Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Economics and Finance, College of Business Administration, University of Bahrain, Sakhir, BahrainThe study examined the nexus between the COVID-19 pandemic and the market volatility of the global markets. For this purpose, a 30-country sample was used based on the most COVID-19 cases and deaths during the study period, from January 1 to December 12, 2020. We employed panel quantile regression and Panel Estimated Generalized Least Square (Panel-EGLS) frameworks to analyze the influence of COVID-19 on volatility in the whole sample and subsamples of emerging and developed markets. Our results of Panel-EGLS showed that the new cases and deaths positively impact volatility in the naïve and control models. The results from quantile regression also illustrated that new deaths and cases have positively influenced market volatility at the 50th and 75th quantiles. From the subsamples, our results demonstrate almost similar signs and significance for the impact of COVID-19 on market volatility in developed and emerging markets in both the naïve and control models. Both the results illustrate that any increase in COVID-19 positively caused volatility in the whole and subsamples at the mean and upper quantile levels. Our results necessitate coordinated global government actions to stabilize markets, mitigate volatility's impact by proactive policies in future health crises, and underscore a monetary policy for stability.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023083391COVID-19 pandemicVolatilityQuantile regressionFinancial markets
spellingShingle Sabeeh Ullah
Sumaira Khan
Nazia Iqbal Hashmi
Md Shabbir Alam
COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach
Heliyon
COVID-19 pandemic
Volatility
Quantile regression
Financial markets
title COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach
title_full COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach
title_fullStr COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach
title_short COVID-19 pandemic and financial market volatility: A quantile regression approach
title_sort covid 19 pandemic and financial market volatility a quantile regression approach
topic COVID-19 pandemic
Volatility
Quantile regression
Financial markets
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023083391
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AT sumairakhan covid19pandemicandfinancialmarketvolatilityaquantileregressionapproach
AT naziaiqbalhashmi covid19pandemicandfinancialmarketvolatilityaquantileregressionapproach
AT mdshabbiralam covid19pandemicandfinancialmarketvolatilityaquantileregressionapproach