COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic

Although research provides causal evidence on the effects of COVID-19 lockdown measures on trust, causal effects of infection risks are missing. To contribute to increasing research on the societal consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, we estimate whether high incidence rates net of lockdown measur...

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Main Authors: Matthias Collischon, Alexander Patzina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2022-08-01
Series:Socius
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/23780231221117910
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author Matthias Collischon
Alexander Patzina
author_facet Matthias Collischon
Alexander Patzina
author_sort Matthias Collischon
collection DOAJ
description Although research provides causal evidence on the effects of COVID-19 lockdown measures on trust, causal effects of infection risks are missing. To contribute to increasing research on the societal consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, we estimate whether high incidence rates net of lockdown measures induce causal changes in social trust. We use representative household panel data from Germany and employ a difference-in-difference design. Although social trust increased during the first phase of the pandemic, the difference-in-difference analysis reveals that high incidences have a negative effect on social trust. We show that females drive this effect. The negative effect is especially large among highly educated women and women with poor pre-COVID-19 health. Overall, our results suggest that increasing incidences signal noncompliance of unknown others. Consequently, the overall positive trend might reverse in the medium and long run, leading to declines in social cohesion over the course of the pandemic.
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spelling doaj.art-c671f8f53f0a49a7a1e811d92766d2112022-12-22T03:43:53ZengSAGE PublishingSocius2378-02312022-08-01810.1177/23780231221117910COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the PandemicMatthias Collischon0Alexander Patzina1Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, GermanyUniversity of Bamberg, Bamberg, GermanyAlthough research provides causal evidence on the effects of COVID-19 lockdown measures on trust, causal effects of infection risks are missing. To contribute to increasing research on the societal consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, we estimate whether high incidence rates net of lockdown measures induce causal changes in social trust. We use representative household panel data from Germany and employ a difference-in-difference design. Although social trust increased during the first phase of the pandemic, the difference-in-difference analysis reveals that high incidences have a negative effect on social trust. We show that females drive this effect. The negative effect is especially large among highly educated women and women with poor pre-COVID-19 health. Overall, our results suggest that increasing incidences signal noncompliance of unknown others. Consequently, the overall positive trend might reverse in the medium and long run, leading to declines in social cohesion over the course of the pandemic.https://doi.org/10.1177/23780231221117910
spellingShingle Matthias Collischon
Alexander Patzina
COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic
Socius
title COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic
title_full COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic
title_fullStr COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic
title_short COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic
title_sort covid 19 and gender differences in social trust causal evidence from the first wave of the pandemic
url https://doi.org/10.1177/23780231221117910
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