The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia.
The (German) market for law professors fulfils the conditions for a hog cycle: In the short run, supply cannot be extended or limited; future law professors must be hired soon after they first present themselves, or leave the market; demand is inelastic. Using a comprehensive German dataset, we show...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2016-01-01
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Series: | PLoS ONE |
Online Access: | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4965028?pdf=render |
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author | Christoph Engel Hanjo Hamann |
author_facet | Christoph Engel Hanjo Hamann |
author_sort | Christoph Engel |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The (German) market for law professors fulfils the conditions for a hog cycle: In the short run, supply cannot be extended or limited; future law professors must be hired soon after they first present themselves, or leave the market; demand is inelastic. Using a comprehensive German dataset, we show that the number of market entries today is negatively correlated with the number of market entries eight years ago. This suggests short-sighted behavior of young scholars at the time when they decide to prepare for the market. Using our statistical model, we make out-of-sample predictions for the German academic market in law until 2020. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-13T06:17:24Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-c67f0c769518488f900087b19dcff9eb |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1932-6203 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-13T06:17:24Z |
publishDate | 2016-01-01 |
publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
record_format | Article |
series | PLoS ONE |
spelling | doaj.art-c67f0c769518488f900087b19dcff9eb2022-12-21T23:56:56ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032016-01-01117e015981510.1371/journal.pone.0159815The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia.Christoph EngelHanjo HamannThe (German) market for law professors fulfils the conditions for a hog cycle: In the short run, supply cannot be extended or limited; future law professors must be hired soon after they first present themselves, or leave the market; demand is inelastic. Using a comprehensive German dataset, we show that the number of market entries today is negatively correlated with the number of market entries eight years ago. This suggests short-sighted behavior of young scholars at the time when they decide to prepare for the market. Using our statistical model, we make out-of-sample predictions for the German academic market in law until 2020.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4965028?pdf=render |
spellingShingle | Christoph Engel Hanjo Hamann The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia. PLoS ONE |
title | The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia. |
title_full | The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia. |
title_fullStr | The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia. |
title_full_unstemmed | The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia. |
title_short | The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia. |
title_sort | hog cycle of law professors an econometric time series analysis of the entry level job market in legal academia |
url | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4965028?pdf=render |
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