Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
Accurate and current rainfall analysis is crucial for planning and development in the new capital city of Indonesia (IKN). This study examines the effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on rainfall variability in IKN using a 20-year dataset of Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IM...
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Elsevier
2024-01-01
|
Series: | Quaternary Science Advances |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666033424000017 |
_version_ | 1797269002162012160 |
---|---|
author | Ravidho Ramadhan Marzuki Marzuki Wiwit Suryanto Sholihun Sholihun Helmi Yusnaini Robi Muharsyah |
author_facet | Ravidho Ramadhan Marzuki Marzuki Wiwit Suryanto Sholihun Sholihun Helmi Yusnaini Robi Muharsyah |
author_sort | Ravidho Ramadhan |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Accurate and current rainfall analysis is crucial for planning and development in the new capital city of Indonesia (IKN). This study examines the effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on rainfall variability in IKN using a 20-year dataset of Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) version 6 and automatic weather station (AWS) data. The study analyzes flood events in IKN by examining flood information provided by the National Agency for Disaster Countermeasures (BNPB) from 2008 to 2022 and the contribution of the MJO to these events. The findings indicate that the MJO significantly influences rainfall variability in IKN, with a more pronounced effect during the dry season (JJASO) than in the wet season (NDJFMAM). This is demonstrated by the higher occurrence of wet days and increased daily rainfall intensity, which is linked to extreme rainfall and longer-duration events, mainly between midnight and morning (0400–0600 LST). Notably, although floods are more common during the rainy season, the MJO can intensify flood events in IKN during the dry season. Therefore, when developing an effective flood disaster mitigation system for IKN, it is crucial to consider the amplitude and phase of the MJO. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-08T13:01:37Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-c6b313d029a24b3d885024a9635af15f |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2666-0334 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-25T01:41:27Z |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | Article |
series | Quaternary Science Advances |
spelling | doaj.art-c6b313d029a24b3d885024a9635af15f2024-03-08T05:19:29ZengElsevierQuaternary Science Advances2666-03342024-01-0113100163Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood eventsRavidho Ramadhan0Marzuki Marzuki1Wiwit Suryanto2Sholihun Sholihun3Helmi Yusnaini4Robi Muharsyah5Department of Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Department of Physics, Universitas Andalas, Padang, 25163, IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Universitas Andalas, Padang, 25163, IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Corresponding author.Department of Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Universitas Andalas, Padang, 25163, IndonesiaAgency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics of Republic Indonesia, Jakarta, 10720, IndonesiaAccurate and current rainfall analysis is crucial for planning and development in the new capital city of Indonesia (IKN). This study examines the effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on rainfall variability in IKN using a 20-year dataset of Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) version 6 and automatic weather station (AWS) data. The study analyzes flood events in IKN by examining flood information provided by the National Agency for Disaster Countermeasures (BNPB) from 2008 to 2022 and the contribution of the MJO to these events. The findings indicate that the MJO significantly influences rainfall variability in IKN, with a more pronounced effect during the dry season (JJASO) than in the wet season (NDJFMAM). This is demonstrated by the higher occurrence of wet days and increased daily rainfall intensity, which is linked to extreme rainfall and longer-duration events, mainly between midnight and morning (0400–0600 LST). Notably, although floods are more common during the rainy season, the MJO can intensify flood events in IKN during the dry season. Therefore, when developing an effective flood disaster mitigation system for IKN, it is crucial to consider the amplitude and phase of the MJO.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666033424000017RainfallMJONew capital city IndonesiaDiurnalIMERG |
spellingShingle | Ravidho Ramadhan Marzuki Marzuki Wiwit Suryanto Sholihun Sholihun Helmi Yusnaini Robi Muharsyah Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events Quaternary Science Advances Rainfall MJO New capital city Indonesia Diurnal IMERG |
title | Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events |
title_full | Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events |
title_fullStr | Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events |
title_full_unstemmed | Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events |
title_short | Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events |
title_sort | rainfall variability in indonesia new capital associated with the madden julian oscillation and its contribution to flood events |
topic | Rainfall MJO New capital city Indonesia Diurnal IMERG |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666033424000017 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ravidhoramadhan rainfallvariabilityinindonesianewcapitalassociatedwiththemaddenjulianoscillationanditscontributiontofloodevents AT marzukimarzuki rainfallvariabilityinindonesianewcapitalassociatedwiththemaddenjulianoscillationanditscontributiontofloodevents AT wiwitsuryanto rainfallvariabilityinindonesianewcapitalassociatedwiththemaddenjulianoscillationanditscontributiontofloodevents AT sholihunsholihun rainfallvariabilityinindonesianewcapitalassociatedwiththemaddenjulianoscillationanditscontributiontofloodevents AT helmiyusnaini rainfallvariabilityinindonesianewcapitalassociatedwiththemaddenjulianoscillationanditscontributiontofloodevents AT robimuharsyah rainfallvariabilityinindonesianewcapitalassociatedwiththemaddenjulianoscillationanditscontributiontofloodevents |