Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events

Accurate and current rainfall analysis is crucial for planning and development in the new capital city of Indonesia (IKN). This study examines the effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on rainfall variability in IKN using a 20-year dataset of Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IM...

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Main Authors: Ravidho Ramadhan, Marzuki Marzuki, Wiwit Suryanto, Sholihun Sholihun, Helmi Yusnaini, Robi Muharsyah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-01-01
Series:Quaternary Science Advances
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666033424000017
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author Ravidho Ramadhan
Marzuki Marzuki
Wiwit Suryanto
Sholihun Sholihun
Helmi Yusnaini
Robi Muharsyah
author_facet Ravidho Ramadhan
Marzuki Marzuki
Wiwit Suryanto
Sholihun Sholihun
Helmi Yusnaini
Robi Muharsyah
author_sort Ravidho Ramadhan
collection DOAJ
description Accurate and current rainfall analysis is crucial for planning and development in the new capital city of Indonesia (IKN). This study examines the effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on rainfall variability in IKN using a 20-year dataset of Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) version 6 and automatic weather station (AWS) data. The study analyzes flood events in IKN by examining flood information provided by the National Agency for Disaster Countermeasures (BNPB) from 2008 to 2022 and the contribution of the MJO to these events. The findings indicate that the MJO significantly influences rainfall variability in IKN, with a more pronounced effect during the dry season (JJASO) than in the wet season (NDJFMAM). This is demonstrated by the higher occurrence of wet days and increased daily rainfall intensity, which is linked to extreme rainfall and longer-duration events, mainly between midnight and morning (0400–0600 LST). Notably, although floods are more common during the rainy season, the MJO can intensify flood events in IKN during the dry season. Therefore, when developing an effective flood disaster mitigation system for IKN, it is crucial to consider the amplitude and phase of the MJO.
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spelling doaj.art-c6b313d029a24b3d885024a9635af15f2024-03-08T05:19:29ZengElsevierQuaternary Science Advances2666-03342024-01-0113100163Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood eventsRavidho Ramadhan0Marzuki Marzuki1Wiwit Suryanto2Sholihun Sholihun3Helmi Yusnaini4Robi Muharsyah5Department of Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Department of Physics, Universitas Andalas, Padang, 25163, IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Universitas Andalas, Padang, 25163, IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia; Corresponding author.Department of Physics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55281, IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Universitas Andalas, Padang, 25163, IndonesiaAgency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics of Republic Indonesia, Jakarta, 10720, IndonesiaAccurate and current rainfall analysis is crucial for planning and development in the new capital city of Indonesia (IKN). This study examines the effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on rainfall variability in IKN using a 20-year dataset of Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) version 6 and automatic weather station (AWS) data. The study analyzes flood events in IKN by examining flood information provided by the National Agency for Disaster Countermeasures (BNPB) from 2008 to 2022 and the contribution of the MJO to these events. The findings indicate that the MJO significantly influences rainfall variability in IKN, with a more pronounced effect during the dry season (JJASO) than in the wet season (NDJFMAM). This is demonstrated by the higher occurrence of wet days and increased daily rainfall intensity, which is linked to extreme rainfall and longer-duration events, mainly between midnight and morning (0400–0600 LST). Notably, although floods are more common during the rainy season, the MJO can intensify flood events in IKN during the dry season. Therefore, when developing an effective flood disaster mitigation system for IKN, it is crucial to consider the amplitude and phase of the MJO.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666033424000017RainfallMJONew capital city IndonesiaDiurnalIMERG
spellingShingle Ravidho Ramadhan
Marzuki Marzuki
Wiwit Suryanto
Sholihun Sholihun
Helmi Yusnaini
Robi Muharsyah
Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
Quaternary Science Advances
Rainfall
MJO
New capital city Indonesia
Diurnal
IMERG
title Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
title_full Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
title_fullStr Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
title_full_unstemmed Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
title_short Rainfall variability in Indonesia new capital associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its contribution to flood events
title_sort rainfall variability in indonesia new capital associated with the madden julian oscillation and its contribution to flood events
topic Rainfall
MJO
New capital city Indonesia
Diurnal
IMERG
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666033424000017
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