Estimating the First 90 of the UNAIDS 90-90-90 Goal: A Review

Estimating the population with undiagnosed HIV (PUHIV) is the most methodologically challenging aspect of evaluating 90-90-90 goals. The objective of this review is to discuss assumptions, strengths, and shortcomings of currently available methods of this estimation. Articles from 2000 to 2018 on me...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Maira Sohail MPH, Emily Bess Levitan ScD, Aadia Iftikhar Rana MD, Sonya Lynn Heath MD, Jeremiah Rastegar MPA, Mirjam-Colette Kempf PhD, MPH, Dustin Marsh Long PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2020-04-01
Series:Journal of the International Association of Providers of AIDS Care
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/2325958220919290
Description
Summary:Estimating the population with undiagnosed HIV (PUHIV) is the most methodologically challenging aspect of evaluating 90-90-90 goals. The objective of this review is to discuss assumptions, strengths, and shortcomings of currently available methods of this estimation. Articles from 2000 to 2018 on methods to estimate PUHIV were reviewed. Back-calculation methods including CD4 depletion and test–retest use diagnosis CD4 count, or previous testing history to determine likely infection time thus, providing an estimate of PUHIV for previous years. Biomarker methods use immunoassays to differentiate recent from older infections. Statistical techniques treat HIV status as missing data and impute data for models of infection. Lastly, population surveys using HIV rapid testing most accurately calculates the current HIV prevalence. Although multiple methods exist to estimate the number of PUHIV, the appropriate method for future applications depends on multiple factors, namely data availability and population of interest.
ISSN:2325-9582