The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant

Seismic risk has received increased attention since the 2011 Fukushima accident in Japan. The seismic risk of a nuclear power plant is evaluated via seismic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), for which several methods are available. Recently, the discrete approach has become widely used. This ap...

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Main Authors: Ji Suk Kim, Man Cheol Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-04-01
Series:Nuclear Engineering and Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573322005976
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author Ji Suk Kim
Man Cheol Kim
author_facet Ji Suk Kim
Man Cheol Kim
author_sort Ji Suk Kim
collection DOAJ
description Seismic risk has received increased attention since the 2011 Fukushima accident in Japan. The seismic risk of a nuclear power plant is evaluated via seismic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), for which several methods are available. Recently, the discrete approach has become widely used. This approximates the seismic risk by discretizing the ground motion level interval into a small number of subintervals with the expectation of providing a conservative result. The present study examines the effect of the number of subintervals upon the results of seismic risk quantification. It is demonstrated that a small number of subintervals may lead to either an underestimation or overestimation of the seismic risk depending on the ground motion level. The present paper also provides a method for finding the boundaries between overestimation and underestimation regions, and illustrates the effect of the number of subintervals upon the seismic risk evaluation with an example. By providing a method for determining the effect of a small number of subintervals upon the results of seismic risk quantification, the present study will assist seismic PSA analysts to determine the appropriate number of subintervals and to better understand seismic risk quantification.
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spelling doaj.art-c6c36daadbe94ceda692657cce2c5e442023-04-26T05:56:29ZengElsevierNuclear Engineering and Technology1738-57332023-04-0155414201427The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plantJi Suk Kim0Man Cheol Kim1Department of Energy Systems Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 84 Heukseok-ro, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, 06974, South KoreaCorresponding author.; Department of Energy Systems Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 84 Heukseok-ro, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, 06974, South KoreaSeismic risk has received increased attention since the 2011 Fukushima accident in Japan. The seismic risk of a nuclear power plant is evaluated via seismic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), for which several methods are available. Recently, the discrete approach has become widely used. This approximates the seismic risk by discretizing the ground motion level interval into a small number of subintervals with the expectation of providing a conservative result. The present study examines the effect of the number of subintervals upon the results of seismic risk quantification. It is demonstrated that a small number of subintervals may lead to either an underestimation or overestimation of the seismic risk depending on the ground motion level. The present paper also provides a method for finding the boundaries between overestimation and underestimation regions, and illustrates the effect of the number of subintervals upon the seismic risk evaluation with an example. By providing a method for determining the effect of a small number of subintervals upon the results of seismic risk quantification, the present study will assist seismic PSA analysts to determine the appropriate number of subintervals and to better understand seismic risk quantification.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573322005976Seismic probabilistic safety assessmentSeismic riskDiscrete approachDiscretizationGround motion level intervalsRisk underestimation
spellingShingle Ji Suk Kim
Man Cheol Kim
The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
Nuclear Engineering and Technology
Seismic probabilistic safety assessment
Seismic risk
Discrete approach
Discretization
Ground motion level intervals
Risk underestimation
title The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
title_full The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
title_fullStr The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
title_full_unstemmed The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
title_short The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
title_sort effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant
topic Seismic probabilistic safety assessment
Seismic risk
Discrete approach
Discretization
Ground motion level intervals
Risk underestimation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573322005976
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