A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load

This paper studies the impact of climate change on the electricity consumption by means of a fuzzy regression approach. The climate factors which have been considered in this paper are humidity and temperature, whereas the simultaneous effect of these two climate factors is considered. The impa...

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Main Authors: Hamed Shakouri G., Hosain Zaman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: College of Engineering, University of Basrah 2010-06-01
Series:Iraqi Journal for Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ijeee.org/volums/volume6/IJEEE6PDF/Paper69.pdf
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author Hamed Shakouri G.
Hosain Zaman
author_facet Hamed Shakouri G.
Hosain Zaman
author_sort Hamed Shakouri G.
collection DOAJ
description This paper studies the impact of climate change on the electricity consumption by means of a fuzzy regression approach. The climate factors which have been considered in this paper are humidity and temperature, whereas the simultaneous effect of these two climate factors is considered. The impacts of other climate variables, like the wind, with a minor effect on energy consumption are ignored. The innovation which applies in this paper is the division of the year into two parts by using the temperature-day graph in the year. To index the humidity, data of the minimum humidity per day are used. For temperature, the maximum temperature of the first part of the year (warm days) and the minimum of the second part (cold days) are used. The indicator for the consumption is the daily peak load. The model results show high sensitivity to the temperature but low sensitivity to the humidity. Moreover, it is concluded that the model structure cannot be the same and for the cold par additional variables such as gas consumption should be considered.
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spelling doaj.art-c71c5826500345bbb63a5e422e0f98fa2022-12-22T02:42:34ZengCollege of Engineering, University of BasrahIraqi Journal for Electrical and Electronic Engineering1814-58922078-60692010-06-01614549A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak loadHamed Shakouri G.0 Hosain Zaman1Department of Industrial engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran Tehran, Iran Department of Industrial engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran Tehran, Iran This paper studies the impact of climate change on the electricity consumption by means of a fuzzy regression approach. The climate factors which have been considered in this paper are humidity and temperature, whereas the simultaneous effect of these two climate factors is considered. The impacts of other climate variables, like the wind, with a minor effect on energy consumption are ignored. The innovation which applies in this paper is the division of the year into two parts by using the temperature-day graph in the year. To index the humidity, data of the minimum humidity per day are used. For temperature, the maximum temperature of the first part of the year (warm days) and the minimum of the second part (cold days) are used. The indicator for the consumption is the daily peak load. The model results show high sensitivity to the temperature but low sensitivity to the humidity. Moreover, it is concluded that the model structure cannot be the same and for the cold par additional variables such as gas consumption should be considered.http://ijeee.org/volums/volume6/IJEEE6PDF/Paper69.pdffuzzy regressionelectricity consumptionclimate chang
spellingShingle Hamed Shakouri G.
Hosain Zaman
A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
Iraqi Journal for Electrical and Electronic Engineering
fuzzy regression
electricity consumption
climate chang
title A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
title_full A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
title_fullStr A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
title_full_unstemmed A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
title_short A combined 2-dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
title_sort combined 2 dimensional fuzzy regression model to study effect of climate change on the electrical peak load
topic fuzzy regression
electricity consumption
climate chang
url http://ijeee.org/volums/volume6/IJEEE6PDF/Paper69.pdf
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