Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The assessment of the causal effect of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission generally involves usual observational designs and thus requires controlling for confounding variables. Instrumental variable analysis is an econometric techn...

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Main Authors: Payen Didier, Sprung Charles, Pirracchio Romain, Chevret Sylvie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2011-09-01
Series:BMC Medical Research Methodology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2288/11/132
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author Payen Didier
Sprung Charles
Pirracchio Romain
Chevret Sylvie
author_facet Payen Didier
Sprung Charles
Pirracchio Romain
Chevret Sylvie
author_sort Payen Didier
collection DOAJ
description <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The assessment of the causal effect of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission generally involves usual observational designs and thus requires controlling for confounding variables. Instrumental variable analysis is an econometric technique that allows causal inferences of the effectiveness of some treatments during situations to be made when a randomized trial has not been or cannot be conducted. This technique relies on the existence of one variable or "instrument" that is supposed to achieve similar observations with a different treatment for "arbitrary" reasons, thus inducing substantial variation in the treatment decision with no direct effect on the outcome. The objective of the study was to assess the benefit in terms of hospital mortality of ICU admission in a cohort of patients proposed for ICU admission (ELDICUS cohort).</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Using this cohort of 8,201 patients triaged for ICU (including 6,752 (82.3%) patients admitted), the benefit of ICU admission was evaluated using 3 different approaches: instrumental variables, standard regression and propensity score matched analyses. We further evaluated the results obtained using different instrumental variable methods that have been proposed for dichotomous outcomes.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The physician's main specialization was found to be the best instrument. All instrumental variable models adequately reduced baseline imbalances, but failed to show a significant effect of ICU admission on hospital mortality, with confidence intervals far higher than those obtained in standard or propensity-based analyses.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Instrumental variable methods offer an appealing alternative to handle the selection bias related to nonrandomized designs, especially when the presence of significant unmeasured confounding is suspected. Applied to the ELDICUS database, this analysis failed to show any significant beneficial effect of ICU admission on hospital mortality. This result could be due to the lack of statistical power of these methods.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-c7267d0c47b044009936226f312783192022-12-22T00:15:41ZengBMCBMC Medical Research Methodology1471-22882011-09-0111113210.1186/1471-2288-11-132Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be usedPayen DidierSprung CharlesPirracchio RomainChevret Sylvie<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The assessment of the causal effect of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission generally involves usual observational designs and thus requires controlling for confounding variables. Instrumental variable analysis is an econometric technique that allows causal inferences of the effectiveness of some treatments during situations to be made when a randomized trial has not been or cannot be conducted. This technique relies on the existence of one variable or "instrument" that is supposed to achieve similar observations with a different treatment for "arbitrary" reasons, thus inducing substantial variation in the treatment decision with no direct effect on the outcome. The objective of the study was to assess the benefit in terms of hospital mortality of ICU admission in a cohort of patients proposed for ICU admission (ELDICUS cohort).</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Using this cohort of 8,201 patients triaged for ICU (including 6,752 (82.3%) patients admitted), the benefit of ICU admission was evaluated using 3 different approaches: instrumental variables, standard regression and propensity score matched analyses. We further evaluated the results obtained using different instrumental variable methods that have been proposed for dichotomous outcomes.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The physician's main specialization was found to be the best instrument. All instrumental variable models adequately reduced baseline imbalances, but failed to show a significant effect of ICU admission on hospital mortality, with confidence intervals far higher than those obtained in standard or propensity-based analyses.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Instrumental variable methods offer an appealing alternative to handle the selection bias related to nonrandomized designs, especially when the presence of significant unmeasured confounding is suspected. Applied to the ELDICUS database, this analysis failed to show any significant beneficial effect of ICU admission on hospital mortality. This result could be due to the lack of statistical power of these methods.</p>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2288/11/132Causal inferenceInstrumental variablesDichotomous outcomeMortalityICU
spellingShingle Payen Didier
Sprung Charles
Pirracchio Romain
Chevret Sylvie
Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
BMC Medical Research Methodology
Causal inference
Instrumental variables
Dichotomous outcome
Mortality
ICU
title Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
title_full Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
title_fullStr Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
title_full_unstemmed Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
title_short Benefits of ICU admission in critically ill patients: Whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
title_sort benefits of icu admission in critically ill patients whether instrumental variable methods or propensity scores should be used
topic Causal inference
Instrumental variables
Dichotomous outcome
Mortality
ICU
url http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2288/11/132
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