Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions

Abstract Global food security is directly linked to human health and sustainable development. It is critical to comprehensively twig future changes in global food demand and progress in implementing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), considering the transition of dietary patter...

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Main Authors: Yujie Liu, Qinghua Tan, Jie Chen, Tao Pan, Josep Penuelas, Jie Zhang, Quansheng Ge
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-08-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002354
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author Yujie Liu
Qinghua Tan
Jie Chen
Tao Pan
Josep Penuelas
Jie Zhang
Quansheng Ge
author_facet Yujie Liu
Qinghua Tan
Jie Chen
Tao Pan
Josep Penuelas
Jie Zhang
Quansheng Ge
author_sort Yujie Liu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Global food security is directly linked to human health and sustainable development. It is critical to comprehensively twig future changes in global food demand and progress in implementing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), considering the transition of dietary patterns. We presented a global‐scale analysis quantifying the status of national food consumption and SDG performance in 2017, and the food demands and SDG index scores in 2030 were predicted under three healthy dietary patterns using 11 SDG indicators. High‐income nations scored well on most SDG indicators but poorly on food waste and the environment. Total global food demand was projected to be the highest under the national dietary guidelines pattern (12.69–13.37 million ton/d) and the lowest under the WHO healthy diet pattern (10.55–11.18 million ton/d). However, food demand under different dietary patterns varied among regions. Transitioning from current diets to healthy diets was projected to gain SDG index score for most countries. Strategies for shifts in dietary patterns to determine the tradeoff between global food security and sustainable development should be tailored to local conditions. The EAT‐Lancet dietary pattern is an optimal choice for determining the tradeoff between food security and sustainable development on a global scale. Given the current status of food access and nutrition, the National and the WHO dietary patterns are recommended for Asia and Africa, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-c77ac2d91fb54052b5af7bb3ab9920b52022-12-22T04:31:10ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772022-08-01108n/an/a10.1029/2021EF002354Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in RegionsYujie Liu0Qinghua Tan1Jie Chen2Tao Pan3Josep Penuelas4Jie Zhang5Quansheng Ge6Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Beijing ChinaCSIC, Global Ecology CREAF‐CSIC‐UAB Barcelona SpainKey Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Beijing ChinaAbstract Global food security is directly linked to human health and sustainable development. It is critical to comprehensively twig future changes in global food demand and progress in implementing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), considering the transition of dietary patterns. We presented a global‐scale analysis quantifying the status of national food consumption and SDG performance in 2017, and the food demands and SDG index scores in 2030 were predicted under three healthy dietary patterns using 11 SDG indicators. High‐income nations scored well on most SDG indicators but poorly on food waste and the environment. Total global food demand was projected to be the highest under the national dietary guidelines pattern (12.69–13.37 million ton/d) and the lowest under the WHO healthy diet pattern (10.55–11.18 million ton/d). However, food demand under different dietary patterns varied among regions. Transitioning from current diets to healthy diets was projected to gain SDG index score for most countries. Strategies for shifts in dietary patterns to determine the tradeoff between global food security and sustainable development should be tailored to local conditions. The EAT‐Lancet dietary pattern is an optimal choice for determining the tradeoff between food security and sustainable development on a global scale. Given the current status of food access and nutrition, the National and the WHO dietary patterns are recommended for Asia and Africa, respectively.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002354food securitySDGsdietary transitiontradeoff
spellingShingle Yujie Liu
Qinghua Tan
Jie Chen
Tao Pan
Josep Penuelas
Jie Zhang
Quansheng Ge
Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions
Earth's Future
food security
SDGs
dietary transition
tradeoff
title Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions
title_full Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions
title_fullStr Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions
title_full_unstemmed Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions
title_short Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions
title_sort dietary transition determining the tradeoff between global food security and sustainable development goals varied in regions
topic food security
SDGs
dietary transition
tradeoff
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002354
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AT qinghuatan dietarytransitiondeterminingthetradeoffbetweenglobalfoodsecurityandsustainabledevelopmentgoalsvariedinregions
AT jiechen dietarytransitiondeterminingthetradeoffbetweenglobalfoodsecurityandsustainabledevelopmentgoalsvariedinregions
AT taopan dietarytransitiondeterminingthetradeoffbetweenglobalfoodsecurityandsustainabledevelopmentgoalsvariedinregions
AT joseppenuelas dietarytransitiondeterminingthetradeoffbetweenglobalfoodsecurityandsustainabledevelopmentgoalsvariedinregions
AT jiezhang dietarytransitiondeterminingthetradeoffbetweenglobalfoodsecurityandsustainabledevelopmentgoalsvariedinregions
AT quanshengge dietarytransitiondeterminingthetradeoffbetweenglobalfoodsecurityandsustainabledevelopmentgoalsvariedinregions