Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison

In order to improve the accuracy of all kinds of information in the cash business and enhance the linkage between cash inventory forecasting and cash management information in the commercial bank, the first moving average prediction method, the second moving average prediction method, the first expo...

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Main Authors: Wen-Hua Cui, Jie-Sheng Wang, Chen-Xu Ning
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2014-11-01
Series:Algorithms
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/7/4/650
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author Wen-Hua Cui
Jie-Sheng Wang
Chen-Xu Ning
author_facet Wen-Hua Cui
Jie-Sheng Wang
Chen-Xu Ning
author_sort Wen-Hua Cui
collection DOAJ
description In order to improve the accuracy of all kinds of information in the cash business and enhance the linkage between cash inventory forecasting and cash management information in the commercial bank, the first moving average prediction method, the second moving average prediction method, the first exponential smoothing prediction and the second exponential smoothing prediction methods are adopted to realize the time series prediction of bank cash flow, respectively. The prediction accuracy of the cash flow time series is improved by optimizing the algorithm parameters. The simulation experiments are carried out on the reality commercial bank’s cash flow data and the predictive performance comparison results show the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
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spelling doaj.art-c78f8d8721e148ea9779d3cd931c96602022-12-21T21:49:42ZengMDPI AGAlgorithms1999-48932014-11-017465066210.3390/a7040650a7040650Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation ComparisonWen-Hua Cui0Jie-Sheng Wang1Chen-Xu Ning2School of Electronic and Information Engineering, University of Science and Technology Liaoning, Anshan 114044, Liaoning, ChinaSchool of Electronic and Information Engineering, University of Science and Technology Liaoning, Anshan 114044, Liaoning, ChinaSchool of Electronic and Information Engineering, University of Science and Technology Liaoning, Anshan 114044, Liaoning, ChinaIn order to improve the accuracy of all kinds of information in the cash business and enhance the linkage between cash inventory forecasting and cash management information in the commercial bank, the first moving average prediction method, the second moving average prediction method, the first exponential smoothing prediction and the second exponential smoothing prediction methods are adopted to realize the time series prediction of bank cash flow, respectively. The prediction accuracy of the cash flow time series is improved by optimizing the algorithm parameters. The simulation experiments are carried out on the reality commercial bank’s cash flow data and the predictive performance comparison results show the effectiveness of the proposed methods.http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/7/4/650time series predictionmoving average predictionexponential smoothing prediction
spellingShingle Wen-Hua Cui
Jie-Sheng Wang
Chen-Xu Ning
Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison
Algorithms
time series prediction
moving average prediction
exponential smoothing prediction
title Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison
title_full Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison
title_fullStr Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison
title_full_unstemmed Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison
title_short Time Series Prediction Method of Bank Cash Flow and Simulation Comparison
title_sort time series prediction method of bank cash flow and simulation comparison
topic time series prediction
moving average prediction
exponential smoothing prediction
url http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/7/4/650
work_keys_str_mv AT wenhuacui timeseriespredictionmethodofbankcashflowandsimulationcomparison
AT jieshengwang timeseriespredictionmethodofbankcashflowandsimulationcomparison
AT chenxuning timeseriespredictionmethodofbankcashflowandsimulationcomparison