Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System
This study aims to deploy a short term hydrological forecast system in snow dominated mountainous basins. The headwaters of Euphrates and Seyhan Basins, selected as study areas, stand out with their high water potential, snow melt feeding this potential and the presence of large and important water...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Artvin Coruh University
2021-07-01
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| Series: | Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/1517721 |
| _version_ | 1826844239034580992 |
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| author | Gökçen Uysal Aynur Şensoy A. Arda Şorman M. Cansaran Ertaş |
| author_facet | Gökçen Uysal Aynur Şensoy A. Arda Şorman M. Cansaran Ertaş |
| author_sort | Gökçen Uysal |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study aims to deploy a short term hydrological forecast system in snow dominated mountainous basins. The headwaters of Euphrates and Seyhan Basins, selected as study areas, stand out with their high water potential, snow melt feeding this potential and the presence of large and important water structures in the downstream. For the simulation of precipitation-runoff relationship, HBV model, a widely used model in the literature especially for mountainous regions, is utilized. Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) and Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model results are preferred as Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data. After calibration/validation of hydrological model parameters with observed precipitation, temperature and flow data, 1- and 2-day flow estimates are obtained using the analyzed NWP data as input. Hindcast simulations for the past period are implemented with a closed-loop structure on the Delft-FEWS platform, and performance evaluation is conducted by comparing them with streamflow observations. The results obtained may contribute to the more efficient operation of water structures located downstream of the basins and thus to the national economy. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T11:11:37Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-c79153b1417b4a329b7c46afe1839d56 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2528-9640 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-02-16T14:01:23Z |
| publishDate | 2021-07-01 |
| publisher | Artvin Coruh University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi |
| spelling | doaj.art-c79153b1417b4a329b7c46afe1839d562025-02-02T04:57:21ZengArtvin Coruh UniversityDoğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi2528-96402021-07-0172338353https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.863585Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast SystemGökçen Uysal0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0445-060XAynur Şensoy1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3004-4912A. Arda Şorman2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3143-7793M. Cansaran Ertaş3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6376-5516Eskişehir Teknik Üniversitesi (ESTÜ), Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği BölümüEskişehir Teknik Üniversitesi (ESTÜ), Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği BölümüEskişehir Teknik Üniversitesi (ESTÜ), Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği BölümüErzurum Teknik Üniversitesi (ETÜ), Mühendislik ve Mimarlık Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği BölümüThis study aims to deploy a short term hydrological forecast system in snow dominated mountainous basins. The headwaters of Euphrates and Seyhan Basins, selected as study areas, stand out with their high water potential, snow melt feeding this potential and the presence of large and important water structures in the downstream. For the simulation of precipitation-runoff relationship, HBV model, a widely used model in the literature especially for mountainous regions, is utilized. Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) and Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model results are preferred as Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data. After calibration/validation of hydrological model parameters with observed precipitation, temperature and flow data, 1- and 2-day flow estimates are obtained using the analyzed NWP data as input. Hindcast simulations for the past period are implemented with a closed-loop structure on the Delft-FEWS platform, and performance evaluation is conducted by comparing them with streamflow observations. The results obtained may contribute to the more efficient operation of water structures located downstream of the basins and thus to the national economy.http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/1517721hydrological modelingnumerical weather predictionrunoff forecasteuphrates and seyhan basinssnowmelt runoff |
| spellingShingle | Gökçen Uysal Aynur Şensoy A. Arda Şorman M. Cansaran Ertaş Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi hydrological modeling numerical weather prediction runoff forecast euphrates and seyhan basins snowmelt runoff |
| title | Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System |
| title_full | Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System |
| title_fullStr | Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System |
| title_full_unstemmed | Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System |
| title_short | Application of a Short-Term Hydrological Forecast System |
| title_sort | application of a short term hydrological forecast system |
| topic | hydrological modeling numerical weather prediction runoff forecast euphrates and seyhan basins snowmelt runoff |
| url | http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/1517721 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT gokcenuysal applicationofashorttermhydrologicalforecastsystem AT aynursensoy applicationofashorttermhydrologicalforecastsystem AT aardasorman applicationofashorttermhydrologicalforecastsystem AT mcansaranertas applicationofashorttermhydrologicalforecastsystem |