Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms

The authors, represented the University of Huddersfield in United Kingdom and Omsk financial university in Russia, investigate the problems of forecasting in small firms. On the basis of studying activity of Russian and English forms there are educed the barriers on the way of effective realization...

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Main Authors: Paul L. Reynolds, Alexander Ivanovich Kovalyov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Siberian State Automobile and Highway University 2017-08-01
Series:Вестник СибАДИ
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.sibadi.org/jour/article/view/169
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author Paul L. Reynolds
Alexander Ivanovich Kovalyov
author_facet Paul L. Reynolds
Alexander Ivanovich Kovalyov
author_sort Paul L. Reynolds
collection DOAJ
description The authors, represented the University of Huddersfield in United Kingdom and Omsk financial university in Russia, investigate the problems of forecasting in small firms. On the basis of studying activity of Russian and English forms there are educed the barriers on the way of effective realization of a such important function of management as forecasting. It is proved that for small frims the Bayesian approach is the most acceptable for forecasting, the distinctive peculiarity of which is using, on the way with objective, subjective information, which may be obtained and systematized on the basis of subjective judgements of entrepreneurs who have a small business. As a practice shows, exactly subjective judgements play the significant role in making managerial decisions in small business.
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spelling doaj.art-c794a888936543d2ba0f292e23963b7d2025-03-02T10:48:24ZrusSiberian State Automobile and Highway UniversityВестник СибАДИ2071-72962658-56262017-08-0103(43)17317710.26518/2071-7296-2015-3(43)-173-177165Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firmsPaul L. Reynolds0Alexander Ivanovich Kovalyov1Business School of Hudclersfield UniversityFinancial University under the Government of the Russian FederationThe authors, represented the University of Huddersfield in United Kingdom and Omsk financial university in Russia, investigate the problems of forecasting in small firms. On the basis of studying activity of Russian and English forms there are educed the barriers on the way of effective realization of a such important function of management as forecasting. It is proved that for small frims the Bayesian approach is the most acceptable for forecasting, the distinctive peculiarity of which is using, on the way with objective, subjective information, which may be obtained and systematized on the basis of subjective judgements of entrepreneurs who have a small business. As a practice shows, exactly subjective judgements play the significant role in making managerial decisions in small business.https://vestnik.sibadi.org/jour/article/view/169прогнозированиемелкие фирмыбайесовский подходменеджеры
spellingShingle Paul L. Reynolds
Alexander Ivanovich Kovalyov
Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
Вестник СибАДИ
прогнозирование
мелкие фирмы
байесовский подход
менеджеры
title Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
title_full Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
title_fullStr Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
title_short Bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
title_sort bayesian approach to forecasting in small firms
topic прогнозирование
мелкие фирмы
байесовский подход
менеджеры
url https://vestnik.sibadi.org/jour/article/view/169
work_keys_str_mv AT paullreynolds bayesianapproachtoforecastinginsmallfirms
AT alexanderivanovichkovalyov bayesianapproachtoforecastinginsmallfirms