Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability
Traditional engineering risk management has been unable to adapt to the complexity and variability due to its constituent elements and dynamic nature of internal and external environments. Vulnerability, as a concept closely related to risk, has been neglected in the traditional risk management due...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
2023-10-01
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| Series: | Journal of Civil Engineering and Management |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://jau.vgtu.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/view/19517 |
| _version_ | 1797663227863105536 |
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| author | Qin Xuan Ye Shi Ren Qiao Shuling Chen |
| author_facet | Qin Xuan Ye Shi Ren Qiao Shuling Chen |
| author_sort | Qin Xuan |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
Traditional engineering risk management has been unable to adapt to the complexity and variability due to its constituent elements and dynamic nature of internal and external environments. Vulnerability, as a concept closely related to risk, has been neglected in the traditional risk management due to its hidden characteristics. This study attempts to quantify and evaluate vulnerabilities of complex engineering projects independently and explore the transmission mechanism between risk and vulnerability factors. Twenty different types of large-scale engineering projects in China were selected as case studies from the Mega Project Case Study Center (MPCSC) of Tongji University. Vulnerability and risk factors of each project were identified and analysed. A mechanism model was developed to explore the impacts of vulnerabilities and risks through ta Fuzzy Petri Net. Four main vulnerability-risk critical paths were identified through the reverse labelling method. The overall evaluation of engineering project risks considering the impacts of vulnerabilities is the highlight of this paper. This study interprets the cognition and evaluation of complex engineering risks from a new perspective, enriches the connotation of engineering risk management, and provides a reference for risk management and decisionmaking of complex engineering projects.
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T19:11:31Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-c79d67ea1bbd404c85f10be8b95ab122 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1392-3730 1822-3605 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T19:11:31Z |
| publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
| publisher | Vilnius Gediminas Technical University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Civil Engineering and Management |
| spelling | doaj.art-c79d67ea1bbd404c85f10be8b95ab1222023-10-09T15:21:17ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityJournal of Civil Engineering and Management1392-37301822-36052023-10-0129710.3846/jcem.2023.19517Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerabilityQin Xuan0Ye Shi1Ren Qiao2Shuling Chen3College of Civil Engineering, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, ChinaCity Futures Research Centre, Faculty of Arts, Design and Architecture, the University of New South Wales, Sydney, AustraliaCollege of Civil Engineering, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, ChinaCollege of Civil Engineering, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, China Traditional engineering risk management has been unable to adapt to the complexity and variability due to its constituent elements and dynamic nature of internal and external environments. Vulnerability, as a concept closely related to risk, has been neglected in the traditional risk management due to its hidden characteristics. This study attempts to quantify and evaluate vulnerabilities of complex engineering projects independently and explore the transmission mechanism between risk and vulnerability factors. Twenty different types of large-scale engineering projects in China were selected as case studies from the Mega Project Case Study Center (MPCSC) of Tongji University. Vulnerability and risk factors of each project were identified and analysed. A mechanism model was developed to explore the impacts of vulnerabilities and risks through ta Fuzzy Petri Net. Four main vulnerability-risk critical paths were identified through the reverse labelling method. The overall evaluation of engineering project risks considering the impacts of vulnerabilities is the highlight of this paper. This study interprets the cognition and evaluation of complex engineering risks from a new perspective, enriches the connotation of engineering risk management, and provides a reference for risk management and decisionmaking of complex engineering projects. https://jau.vgtu.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/view/19517complex engineering projectrisk assessmentvulnerabilityfuzzy Petri netproject risk management |
| spellingShingle | Qin Xuan Ye Shi Ren Qiao Shuling Chen Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability Journal of Civil Engineering and Management complex engineering project risk assessment vulnerability fuzzy Petri net project risk management |
| title | Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability |
| title_full | Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability |
| title_fullStr | Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability |
| title_short | Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability |
| title_sort | risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy petri net under the perspective of vulnerability |
| topic | complex engineering project risk assessment vulnerability fuzzy Petri net project risk management |
| url | https://jau.vgtu.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/view/19517 |
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