Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case

This paper investigates regional disparities of both turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums. The analysis is undertaken at the NUTS-3 level and it considers the three constitutional referendums held in Italy in the period 2001–2016. It finds that turnout was lower in provinces wi...

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Main Authors: Alfredo Del Monte, Sara Moccia, Luca Pennacchio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2019-01-01
Series:Regional Studies, Regional Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2019.1680314
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author Alfredo Del Monte
Sara Moccia
Luca Pennacchio
author_facet Alfredo Del Monte
Sara Moccia
Luca Pennacchio
author_sort Alfredo Del Monte
collection DOAJ
description This paper investigates regional disparities of both turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums. The analysis is undertaken at the NUTS-3 level and it considers the three constitutional referendums held in Italy in the period 2001–2016. It finds that turnout was lower in provinces with higher unemployment rates and where citizens had a stronger affiliation to opposition parties. These factors, along with level of government popularity, were important drivers of referendum results, especially in 2006 and 2016 when the referendums were rejected. In addition, while the three referendums implied different effects for rich and poor regions, mainly due to decentralization of powers, the local voting patterns did not reflect this. Overall, these findings suggest that the merit of the constitutional reforms played little part in explaining the outcome of the referendums.
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spelling doaj.art-c7ac000baae149d791119352d7620bf62022-12-21T19:18:28ZengTaylor & Francis GroupRegional Studies, Regional Science2168-13762019-01-016155757310.1080/21681376.2019.16803141680314Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian caseAlfredo Del Monte0Sara Moccia1Luca Pennacchio2University of Naples Federico IIUniversity of Naples Federico IIParthenope University of NaplesThis paper investigates regional disparities of both turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums. The analysis is undertaken at the NUTS-3 level and it considers the three constitutional referendums held in Italy in the period 2001–2016. It finds that turnout was lower in provinces with higher unemployment rates and where citizens had a stronger affiliation to opposition parties. These factors, along with level of government popularity, were important drivers of referendum results, especially in 2006 and 2016 when the referendums were rejected. In addition, while the three referendums implied different effects for rich and poor regions, mainly due to decentralization of powers, the local voting patterns did not reflect this. Overall, these findings suggest that the merit of the constitutional reforms played little part in explaining the outcome of the referendums.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2019.1680314constitutional referendumsturnoutvoting behaviourregional disparitiesunemploymentgovernment popularity
spellingShingle Alfredo Del Monte
Sara Moccia
Luca Pennacchio
Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case
Regional Studies, Regional Science
constitutional referendums
turnout
voting behaviour
regional disparities
unemployment
government popularity
title Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case
title_full Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case
title_fullStr Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case
title_full_unstemmed Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case
title_short Turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums: a regional analysis of the Italian case
title_sort turnout and voting behaviour in constitutional referendums a regional analysis of the italian case
topic constitutional referendums
turnout
voting behaviour
regional disparities
unemployment
government popularity
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2019.1680314
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AT saramoccia turnoutandvotingbehaviourinconstitutionalreferendumsaregionalanalysisoftheitaliancase
AT lucapennacchio turnoutandvotingbehaviourinconstitutionalreferendumsaregionalanalysisoftheitaliancase