The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
Abstract Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans—on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2022-10-01
|
Series: | Scientific Reports |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6 |
_version_ | 1828103645868064768 |
---|---|
author | Łukasz Walas Wojciech Kędziora Marek Ksepko Mariola Rabska Dominik Tomaszewski Peter A. Thomas Roman Wójcik Grzegorz Iszkuło |
author_facet | Łukasz Walas Wojciech Kędziora Marek Ksepko Mariola Rabska Dominik Tomaszewski Peter A. Thomas Roman Wójcik Grzegorz Iszkuło |
author_sort | Łukasz Walas |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans—on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of conifer stands. Therefore, it is important to recognize the future range of three mistletoe subspecies (Viscum album subsp. album, V. album subsp. austriacum, and V. album subsp. abietis). Modelling of the potential range of these subspecies was performed using MAXENT software. Locations were collected from literature and databases. A total number of 3335 stands were used. Bioclimatic data for the current conditions and three future scenarios (SSP 1.26, SSP 3.70, SSP 5.85) were downloaded from the CHELSA database. The results confirmed that the temperature is the key variable on the potential range of the analysed subspecies. V. album subsp. abietis is withdrawing from its range according to all scenarios. In the case of V. album subsp. austriacum, a slight range shift is visible. Only the V. album subsp. album will expand non-directionally. The reason is most likely a very large number of host species and greater genetic variability compared to the subspecies found on conifers. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-11T09:29:17Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-c820d36c33724837981bc10abf8753a3 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2045-2322 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-11T09:29:17Z |
publishDate | 2022-10-01 |
publisher | Nature Portfolio |
record_format | Article |
series | Scientific Reports |
spelling | doaj.art-c820d36c33724837981bc10abf8753a32022-12-22T04:31:57ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-10-0112111210.1038/s41598-022-21532-6The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availabilityŁukasz Walas0Wojciech Kędziora1Marek Ksepko2Mariola Rabska3Dominik Tomaszewski4Peter A. Thomas5Roman Wójcik6Grzegorz Iszkuło7Institute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesInstitute of Forest Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGWBureau for Forest Management and GeodesyInstitute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesInstitute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesSchool of Life Sciences, Keele UniversityInstitute of Forest Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGWInstitute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesAbstract Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans—on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of conifer stands. Therefore, it is important to recognize the future range of three mistletoe subspecies (Viscum album subsp. album, V. album subsp. austriacum, and V. album subsp. abietis). Modelling of the potential range of these subspecies was performed using MAXENT software. Locations were collected from literature and databases. A total number of 3335 stands were used. Bioclimatic data for the current conditions and three future scenarios (SSP 1.26, SSP 3.70, SSP 5.85) were downloaded from the CHELSA database. The results confirmed that the temperature is the key variable on the potential range of the analysed subspecies. V. album subsp. abietis is withdrawing from its range according to all scenarios. In the case of V. album subsp. austriacum, a slight range shift is visible. Only the V. album subsp. album will expand non-directionally. The reason is most likely a very large number of host species and greater genetic variability compared to the subspecies found on conifers.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6 |
spellingShingle | Łukasz Walas Wojciech Kędziora Marek Ksepko Mariola Rabska Dominik Tomaszewski Peter A. Thomas Roman Wójcik Grzegorz Iszkuło The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability Scientific Reports |
title | The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability |
title_full | The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability |
title_fullStr | The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability |
title_full_unstemmed | The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability |
title_short | The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability |
title_sort | future of viscum album l in europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability |
url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT łukaszwalas thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT wojciechkedziora thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT marekksepko thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT mariolarabska thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT dominiktomaszewski thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT peterathomas thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT romanwojcik thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT grzegorziszkuło thefutureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT łukaszwalas futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT wojciechkedziora futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT marekksepko futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT mariolarabska futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT dominiktomaszewski futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT peterathomas futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT romanwojcik futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability AT grzegorziszkuło futureofviscumalbumlineuropewillbeshapedbytemperatureandhostavailability |