The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability

Abstract Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans—on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of...

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Main Authors: Łukasz Walas, Wojciech Kędziora, Marek Ksepko, Mariola Rabska, Dominik Tomaszewski, Peter A. Thomas, Roman Wójcik, Grzegorz Iszkuło
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-10-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6
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author Łukasz Walas
Wojciech Kędziora
Marek Ksepko
Mariola Rabska
Dominik Tomaszewski
Peter A. Thomas
Roman Wójcik
Grzegorz Iszkuło
author_facet Łukasz Walas
Wojciech Kędziora
Marek Ksepko
Mariola Rabska
Dominik Tomaszewski
Peter A. Thomas
Roman Wójcik
Grzegorz Iszkuło
author_sort Łukasz Walas
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans—on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of conifer stands. Therefore, it is important to recognize the future range of three mistletoe subspecies (Viscum album subsp. album, V. album subsp. austriacum, and V. album subsp. abietis). Modelling of the potential range of these subspecies was performed using MAXENT software. Locations were collected from literature and databases. A total number of 3335 stands were used. Bioclimatic data for the current conditions and three future scenarios (SSP 1.26, SSP 3.70, SSP 5.85) were downloaded from the CHELSA database. The results confirmed that the temperature is the key variable on the potential range of the analysed subspecies. V. album subsp. abietis is withdrawing from its range according to all scenarios. In the case of V. album subsp. austriacum, a slight range shift is visible. Only the V. album subsp. album will expand non-directionally. The reason is most likely a very large number of host species and greater genetic variability compared to the subspecies found on conifers.
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spelling doaj.art-c820d36c33724837981bc10abf8753a32022-12-22T04:31:57ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-10-0112111210.1038/s41598-022-21532-6The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availabilityŁukasz Walas0Wojciech Kędziora1Marek Ksepko2Mariola Rabska3Dominik Tomaszewski4Peter A. Thomas5Roman Wójcik6Grzegorz Iszkuło7Institute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesInstitute of Forest Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGWBureau for Forest Management and GeodesyInstitute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesInstitute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesSchool of Life Sciences, Keele UniversityInstitute of Forest Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGWInstitute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of SciencesAbstract Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans—on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of conifer stands. Therefore, it is important to recognize the future range of three mistletoe subspecies (Viscum album subsp. album, V. album subsp. austriacum, and V. album subsp. abietis). Modelling of the potential range of these subspecies was performed using MAXENT software. Locations were collected from literature and databases. A total number of 3335 stands were used. Bioclimatic data for the current conditions and three future scenarios (SSP 1.26, SSP 3.70, SSP 5.85) were downloaded from the CHELSA database. The results confirmed that the temperature is the key variable on the potential range of the analysed subspecies. V. album subsp. abietis is withdrawing from its range according to all scenarios. In the case of V. album subsp. austriacum, a slight range shift is visible. Only the V. album subsp. album will expand non-directionally. The reason is most likely a very large number of host species and greater genetic variability compared to the subspecies found on conifers.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6
spellingShingle Łukasz Walas
Wojciech Kędziora
Marek Ksepko
Mariola Rabska
Dominik Tomaszewski
Peter A. Thomas
Roman Wójcik
Grzegorz Iszkuło
The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
Scientific Reports
title The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
title_full The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
title_fullStr The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
title_full_unstemmed The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
title_short The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
title_sort future of viscum album l in europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6
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