Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data

Study objective: Develop and evaluate a model that uses health administrative data to categorize cardiovascular (CV) cause of death (COD). Design: Population-based cohort. Setting: Ontario, Canada. Participants: Decedents ≥ 40 years with known COD between 2008 and 2015 in the CANHEART cohort, split...

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Main Authors: Sagar Patel, Wade Thompson, Atul Sivaswamy, Anam Khan, Laura Ferreira-Legere, Douglas S. Lee, Husam Abdel-Qadir, Cynthia Jackevicius, Shaun Goodman, Michael E. Farkouh, Karen Tu, Moira K. Kapral, Harindra C. Wijeysundera, Derrick Tam, Peter C. Austin, Jiming Fang, Dennis T. Ko, Jacob A. Udell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-10-01
Series:American Heart Journal Plus
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666602222001240
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author Sagar Patel
Wade Thompson
Atul Sivaswamy
Anam Khan
Laura Ferreira-Legere
Douglas S. Lee
Husam Abdel-Qadir
Cynthia Jackevicius
Shaun Goodman
Michael E. Farkouh
Karen Tu
Moira K. Kapral
Harindra C. Wijeysundera
Derrick Tam
Peter C. Austin
Jiming Fang
Dennis T. Ko
Jacob A. Udell
author_facet Sagar Patel
Wade Thompson
Atul Sivaswamy
Anam Khan
Laura Ferreira-Legere
Douglas S. Lee
Husam Abdel-Qadir
Cynthia Jackevicius
Shaun Goodman
Michael E. Farkouh
Karen Tu
Moira K. Kapral
Harindra C. Wijeysundera
Derrick Tam
Peter C. Austin
Jiming Fang
Dennis T. Ko
Jacob A. Udell
author_sort Sagar Patel
collection DOAJ
description Study objective: Develop and evaluate a model that uses health administrative data to categorize cardiovascular (CV) cause of death (COD). Design: Population-based cohort. Setting: Ontario, Canada. Participants: Decedents ≥ 40 years with known COD between 2008 and 2015 in the CANHEART cohort, split into derivation (2008 to 2012; n = 363,778) and validation (2013 to 2015; n = 239,672) cohorts. Main outcome measures: Model performance. COD was categorized as CV or non-CV with ICD-10 codes as the gold standard. We developed a logistic regression model that uses routinely collected healthcare administrative to categorize CV versus non-CV COD. We assessed model discrimination and calibration in the validation cohort. Results: The strongest predictors for CV COD were history of stroke, history of myocardial infarction, history of heart failure, and CV hospitalization one month before death. In the validation cohort, the c-statistic was 0.80, the sensitivity 0.75 (95 % CI 0.74 to 0.75) and the specificity 0.71 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.71). In the primary prevention validation sub-cohort, the c-statistic was 0.81, the sensitivity 0.71 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.71) and the specificity 0.75 (95 % CI 0.75 to 0.75) while in the secondary prevention sub-cohort the c-statistic was 0.74, the sensitivity 0.81 (95 % CI 0.81 to 0.82) and the specificity 0.54 (95 % CI 0.53 to 0.54), Conclusion: Modelling approaches using health administrative data show potential in categorizing CV COD, though further work is necessary before this approach is employed in clinical studies.
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spelling doaj.art-c8549fa2b49642e4b8513b817a2728d42022-12-22T04:13:06ZengElsevierAmerican Heart Journal Plus2666-60222022-10-0122100207Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative dataSagar Patel0Wade Thompson1Atul Sivaswamy2Anam Khan3Laura Ferreira-Legere4Douglas S. Lee5Husam Abdel-Qadir6Cynthia Jackevicius7Shaun Goodman8Michael E. Farkouh9Karen Tu10Moira K. Kapral11Harindra C. Wijeysundera12Derrick Tam13Peter C. Austin14Jiming Fang15Dennis T. Ko16Jacob A. Udell17Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, CanadaWomen's College Research Institute, Toronto, Canada; ICES, Toronto, Canada; Research Unit of General Practice, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark; Department of Anesthesiology, Pharmacology, and Therapeutics, University of British Columbia, CanadaICES, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Western University of Health Sciences, Pomona, CA, United States of AmericaWestern University of Health Sciences, Pomona, CA, United States of America; Division of Cardiology, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Canada; Canadian VIGOUR Centre, University of Alberta, Edmonton, CanadaPeter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; Heart and Stroke/Richard Lewar Centre of Excellence, University of Toronto, Toronto, CanadaInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; North York General Hospital, Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Toronto Western Hospital Family Health Team, University Health Network, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Schulich Heart Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, CanadaDepartment of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Schulich Heart Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, CanadaICES, Toronto, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Canada; Corresponding author at: Cardiovascular Division, Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, Toronto General Hospital and Women's College Hospital, University of Toronto, 76 Grenville Street, Toronto, ON M5S 1B1, Canada.Study objective: Develop and evaluate a model that uses health administrative data to categorize cardiovascular (CV) cause of death (COD). Design: Population-based cohort. Setting: Ontario, Canada. Participants: Decedents ≥ 40 years with known COD between 2008 and 2015 in the CANHEART cohort, split into derivation (2008 to 2012; n = 363,778) and validation (2013 to 2015; n = 239,672) cohorts. Main outcome measures: Model performance. COD was categorized as CV or non-CV with ICD-10 codes as the gold standard. We developed a logistic regression model that uses routinely collected healthcare administrative to categorize CV versus non-CV COD. We assessed model discrimination and calibration in the validation cohort. Results: The strongest predictors for CV COD were history of stroke, history of myocardial infarction, history of heart failure, and CV hospitalization one month before death. In the validation cohort, the c-statistic was 0.80, the sensitivity 0.75 (95 % CI 0.74 to 0.75) and the specificity 0.71 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.71). In the primary prevention validation sub-cohort, the c-statistic was 0.81, the sensitivity 0.71 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.71) and the specificity 0.75 (95 % CI 0.75 to 0.75) while in the secondary prevention sub-cohort the c-statistic was 0.74, the sensitivity 0.81 (95 % CI 0.81 to 0.82) and the specificity 0.54 (95 % CI 0.53 to 0.54), Conclusion: Modelling approaches using health administrative data show potential in categorizing CV COD, though further work is necessary before this approach is employed in clinical studies.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666602222001240Healthcare outcome assessmentCohort studiesDatabases
spellingShingle Sagar Patel
Wade Thompson
Atul Sivaswamy
Anam Khan
Laura Ferreira-Legere
Douglas S. Lee
Husam Abdel-Qadir
Cynthia Jackevicius
Shaun Goodman
Michael E. Farkouh
Karen Tu
Moira K. Kapral
Harindra C. Wijeysundera
Derrick Tam
Peter C. Austin
Jiming Fang
Dennis T. Ko
Jacob A. Udell
Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
American Heart Journal Plus
Healthcare outcome assessment
Cohort studies
Databases
title Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
title_full Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
title_fullStr Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
title_full_unstemmed Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
title_short Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
title_sort development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data
topic Healthcare outcome assessment
Cohort studies
Databases
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666602222001240
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