Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results

Results of a regional-scale monitoring campaign were compared with two meso-scale to sub-continental modelling studies, for S02 and N02 and 03 respectively (Fourie, 2006, Zunckel et al., 2006, van Tienhoven et al., 2006, Van Tienhoven and Zunckel, 2004). However, a direct validation of the monitored...

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Main Authors: M. Josipovic, H.J. Annegarn, G.D. Fourie, M. Zunckel, M.A. Kneen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Association for Clean Air 2010-06-01
Series:Clean Air Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.assaf.org.za/index.php/caj/article/view/7081
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author M. Josipovic
H.J. Annegarn
G.D. Fourie
M. Zunckel
M.A. Kneen
author_facet M. Josipovic
H.J. Annegarn
G.D. Fourie
M. Zunckel
M.A. Kneen
author_sort M. Josipovic
collection DOAJ
description Results of a regional-scale monitoring campaign were compared with two meso-scale to sub-continental modelling studies, for S02 and N02 and 03 respectively (Fourie, 2006, Zunckel et al., 2006, van Tienhoven et al., 2006, Van Tienhoven and Zunckel, 2004). However, a direct validation of the monitored results with modelled results could not be carried out, as available modelling studies dealt with different periods from the monitoring study. For this study, three monitoring sites were selected for comparison with modelling results. These sites were strategically selected to be representative of the entire region. Site Elandsfontein in the centre of the industrial Highveld, site Amersfoort, downwind from the central pollution source region and site Louis Trichardt, a remote site. Sulphur, nitrogen and ozone species comparisons were considered in turn. The comparisons were carried out for equivalent annual (and seasonal) cycles. The compa risons produced mixed results. For sulphur and nitrogen species in most cases, depending on site and season, modelling results ranged between significant underestimates to overestimates. Ozone modelling almost always overestimated the concentrations compared to the measured results. Despite several limiting factors, constraining the reliability of the comparisons between the modelled and measured results, they were important as the distribution of the gases showed patterns that imply understanding of the source and fate of these pollutants. The uncertainty in the magnitude of the model inaccuracies as well as margin of error of the measured data remained. Thus a modelling validation is recommended using the concurrent period with fewer uncertainties.
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spelling doaj.art-c86930c7e0514ae8860668ae37d706ef2022-12-21T21:21:28ZengNational Association for Clean AirClean Air Journal2410-972X1017-17032010-06-0118110.17159/caj/2010/18/1.7081Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring ResultsM. Josipovic0H.J. Annegarn1G.D. Fourie2M. Zunckel3M.A. Kneen4Department of Geography, Environmental Management & Energy Studies, University of Johannesburg1. Department of Geography, Environmental Management & Energy Studies, University of Johannesburg2. Sasol Technology Research and Development — Atmospheric Impact Research Group3. CSIR Environmentek/uMoya-NlLU1. Department of Geography, Environmental Management & Energy Studies, University of JohannesburgResults of a regional-scale monitoring campaign were compared with two meso-scale to sub-continental modelling studies, for S02 and N02 and 03 respectively (Fourie, 2006, Zunckel et al., 2006, van Tienhoven et al., 2006, Van Tienhoven and Zunckel, 2004). However, a direct validation of the monitored results with modelled results could not be carried out, as available modelling studies dealt with different periods from the monitoring study. For this study, three monitoring sites were selected for comparison with modelling results. These sites were strategically selected to be representative of the entire region. Site Elandsfontein in the centre of the industrial Highveld, site Amersfoort, downwind from the central pollution source region and site Louis Trichardt, a remote site. Sulphur, nitrogen and ozone species comparisons were considered in turn. The comparisons were carried out for equivalent annual (and seasonal) cycles. The compa risons produced mixed results. For sulphur and nitrogen species in most cases, depending on site and season, modelling results ranged between significant underestimates to overestimates. Ozone modelling almost always overestimated the concentrations compared to the measured results. Despite several limiting factors, constraining the reliability of the comparisons between the modelled and measured results, they were important as the distribution of the gases showed patterns that imply understanding of the source and fate of these pollutants. The uncertainty in the magnitude of the model inaccuracies as well as margin of error of the measured data remained. Thus a modelling validation is recommended using the concurrent period with fewer uncertainties.https://journals.assaf.org.za/index.php/caj/article/view/7081Monitoringmodellingconcentrationsdepositionsdrywet
spellingShingle M. Josipovic
H.J. Annegarn
G.D. Fourie
M. Zunckel
M.A. Kneen
Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results
Clean Air Journal
Monitoring
modelling
concentrations
depositions
dry
wet
title Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results
title_full Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results
title_fullStr Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results
title_full_unstemmed Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results
title_short Comparisons of Meso-Scale Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling of S02, N02 and 03 Using Regional-Scale Monitoring Results
title_sort comparisons of meso scale air pollution dispersion modelling of s02 n02 and 03 using regional scale monitoring results
topic Monitoring
modelling
concentrations
depositions
dry
wet
url https://journals.assaf.org.za/index.php/caj/article/view/7081
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