Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply

Microdata from the National Employment Survey of 2010–2015 Vocational and University Graduates conducted by the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in April–September 2016 is used to analyze the study-to-work transition of graduates in engineering and economics. Transition effectivene...

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Main Authors: Elena Varshavskaya, Elena Kotyrlo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE) 2019-06-01
Series:Вопросы образования
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vo.hse.ru/article/view/15690
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author Elena Varshavskaya
Elena Kotyrlo
author_facet Elena Varshavskaya
Elena Kotyrlo
author_sort Elena Varshavskaya
collection DOAJ
description Microdata from the National Employment Survey of 2010–2015 Vocational and University Graduates conducted by the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in April–September 2016 is used to analyze the study-to-work transition of graduates in engineering and economics. Transition effectiveness is used to estimate the ratio of demand and supply of graduates’ labor. Research methods include descriptive and regression analysis. Statistical analysis of macro data shows that the number of skilled engineers who obtained degrees in 1990–2000 exceeded the number of engineers exiting the labor force upon reaching the age of retirement during that period. While aggregate supply of engineering workforce was growing during the post-reform era, demand for their labor was shrinking―mostly due to a considerable decline in industrial jobs. It has been established that chances of getting a job, average time that it takes to find one, and the degree of first-job educational and skill match are pretty much the same for young qualified engineers and economists. No statistically significant difference has been observed between their starting salaries, either. Therefore, no evidence has been found to support the hypothesis about a high unmet demand for qualified engineers and surplus of workforce in economics and management. The study demonstrates that the reported shortage of engineers has nothing to do with low aggregate supply. Research findings could be used in the design of academic programs for higher education at national and regional scales.
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spelling doaj.art-c86ae16b1d1d4b6cb4a0c6449911f15e2023-02-14T12:05:00ZengNational Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE)Вопросы образования1814-95452412-43542019-06-0129812810.17323/1814-9545-2019-2-98-12815690Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and SupplyElena Varshavskaya0Elena Kotyrlo1HSE UniversityHSE UniversityMicrodata from the National Employment Survey of 2010–2015 Vocational and University Graduates conducted by the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in April–September 2016 is used to analyze the study-to-work transition of graduates in engineering and economics. Transition effectiveness is used to estimate the ratio of demand and supply of graduates’ labor. Research methods include descriptive and regression analysis. Statistical analysis of macro data shows that the number of skilled engineers who obtained degrees in 1990–2000 exceeded the number of engineers exiting the labor force upon reaching the age of retirement during that period. While aggregate supply of engineering workforce was growing during the post-reform era, demand for their labor was shrinking―mostly due to a considerable decline in industrial jobs. It has been established that chances of getting a job, average time that it takes to find one, and the degree of first-job educational and skill match are pretty much the same for young qualified engineers and economists. No statistically significant difference has been observed between their starting salaries, either. Therefore, no evidence has been found to support the hypothesis about a high unmet demand for qualified engineers and surplus of workforce in economics and management. The study demonstrates that the reported shortage of engineers has nothing to do with low aggregate supply. Research findings could be used in the design of academic programs for higher education at national and regional scales.https://vo.hse.ru/article/view/15690study-to-work transitiongraduate labor marketlabor demand and supplyshortage of engineerssurplus of economists
spellingShingle Elena Varshavskaya
Elena Kotyrlo
Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply
Вопросы образования
study-to-work transition
graduate labor market
labor demand and supply
shortage of engineers
surplus of economists
title Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply
title_full Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply
title_fullStr Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply
title_full_unstemmed Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply
title_short Engineering and Economics Graduates: Between Demand and Supply
title_sort engineering and economics graduates between demand and supply
topic study-to-work transition
graduate labor market
labor demand and supply
shortage of engineers
surplus of economists
url https://vo.hse.ru/article/view/15690
work_keys_str_mv AT elenavarshavskaya engineeringandeconomicsgraduatesbetweendemandandsupply
AT elenakotyrlo engineeringandeconomicsgraduatesbetweendemandandsupply