The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study

Abstract The St. Petersburg paradox is one of the oldest challenges of expected value theory. Thus far, explanations of the paradox aim at small probabilities being perceived as zero and the boundedness of utility of the outcome. This paper provides experimental results showing that neither diminish...

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Main Authors: James C. Cox, Eike B. Kroll, Marcel Lichters, Vjollca Sadiraj, Bodo Vogt
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2018-10-01
Series:Business Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40685-018-0078-y
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author James C. Cox
Eike B. Kroll
Marcel Lichters
Vjollca Sadiraj
Bodo Vogt
author_facet James C. Cox
Eike B. Kroll
Marcel Lichters
Vjollca Sadiraj
Bodo Vogt
author_sort James C. Cox
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The St. Petersburg paradox is one of the oldest challenges of expected value theory. Thus far, explanations of the paradox aim at small probabilities being perceived as zero and the boundedness of utility of the outcome. This paper provides experimental results showing that neither diminishing marginal utility of the outcome nor perception of small probabilities can explain the paradox. We find that even in situations where subjects are risk-seeking, and zeroing-out small probabilities supports risk-taking, the St. Petersburg paradox exists. This indicates that the paradox cannot be resolved by the arguments advanced to date.
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spelling doaj.art-c8b20f943d0a41c2b7056aa4b9f5a76e2022-12-21T18:36:32ZengSpringerBusiness Research2198-34022198-26272018-10-01121274410.1007/s40685-018-0078-yThe St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental studyJames C. Cox0Eike B. Kroll1Marcel Lichters2Vjollca Sadiraj3Bodo Vogt4Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State UniversityOtto-von-Guericke-University Magdeburg, Empirical EconomicsOtto-von-Guericke-University Magdeburg, Empirical EconomicsAndrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State UniversityOtto-von-Guericke-University Magdeburg, Empirical EconomicsAbstract The St. Petersburg paradox is one of the oldest challenges of expected value theory. Thus far, explanations of the paradox aim at small probabilities being perceived as zero and the boundedness of utility of the outcome. This paper provides experimental results showing that neither diminishing marginal utility of the outcome nor perception of small probabilities can explain the paradox. We find that even in situations where subjects are risk-seeking, and zeroing-out small probabilities supports risk-taking, the St. Petersburg paradox exists. This indicates that the paradox cannot be resolved by the arguments advanced to date.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40685-018-0078-yDecision-making under riskSt. Petersburg paradoxRisk-aversion
spellingShingle James C. Cox
Eike B. Kroll
Marcel Lichters
Vjollca Sadiraj
Bodo Vogt
The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
Business Research
Decision-making under risk
St. Petersburg paradox
Risk-aversion
title The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
title_full The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
title_fullStr The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
title_full_unstemmed The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
title_short The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
title_sort st petersburg paradox despite risk seeking preferences an experimental study
topic Decision-making under risk
St. Petersburg paradox
Risk-aversion
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40685-018-0078-y
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