The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market

Machine learning and data analytics are so popular in making trading much more efficient by helping the investors to identify opportunities and reduce trading costs. Before applying suitable predictive modelling algorithms, it is crucial for investors or policymaker to understand the nature of the s...

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Main Authors: Beh Woan Lin, Yew Wen Khang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2021-01-01
Series:ITM Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2021/01/itmconf_icmsa2021_01013.pdf
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author Beh Woan Lin
Yew Wen Khang
author_facet Beh Woan Lin
Yew Wen Khang
author_sort Beh Woan Lin
collection DOAJ
description Machine learning and data analytics are so popular in making trading much more efficient by helping the investors to identify opportunities and reduce trading costs. Before applying suitable predictive modelling algorithms, it is crucial for investors or policymaker to understand the nature of the stock data properly. This paper investigates the dependency of macroeconomic factors against the stock markets in the United States using the nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) approach. The analysis considered the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, NASDAQ Composite Index, and S&P 500 Index. Macroeconomic factors in this country such as consumer price index, export, interest rates, money supply, real effective exchange rates, total reserves, and gold price are considered in this study. In the findings, the NARDL approach shows that the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and S&P500 Index are having bi-directional positive asymmetric effects to each other in the short run. In short-run, increasing the consumer price index is found to have a negative effect on Dow Jones Industrial Average Index but with a positive effect on S&P500 Index. In conclusion, this study aids investors and other market participants in making a more efficient investment decision.
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spelling doaj.art-c8da964fbb70427abb2809c1e7c1d9242022-12-21T21:26:37ZengEDP SciencesITM Web of Conferences2271-20972021-01-01360101310.1051/itmconf/20213601013itmconf_icmsa2021_01013The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US marketBeh Woan Lin0Yew Wen Khang1Faculty of Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul RahmanFaculty of Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul RahmanMachine learning and data analytics are so popular in making trading much more efficient by helping the investors to identify opportunities and reduce trading costs. Before applying suitable predictive modelling algorithms, it is crucial for investors or policymaker to understand the nature of the stock data properly. This paper investigates the dependency of macroeconomic factors against the stock markets in the United States using the nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) approach. The analysis considered the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, NASDAQ Composite Index, and S&P 500 Index. Macroeconomic factors in this country such as consumer price index, export, interest rates, money supply, real effective exchange rates, total reserves, and gold price are considered in this study. In the findings, the NARDL approach shows that the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and S&P500 Index are having bi-directional positive asymmetric effects to each other in the short run. In short-run, increasing the consumer price index is found to have a negative effect on Dow Jones Industrial Average Index but with a positive effect on S&P500 Index. In conclusion, this study aids investors and other market participants in making a more efficient investment decision.https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2021/01/itmconf_icmsa2021_01013.pdf
spellingShingle Beh Woan Lin
Yew Wen Khang
The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market
ITM Web of Conferences
title The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market
title_full The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market
title_fullStr The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market
title_full_unstemmed The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market
title_short The asymmetric responses of stock prices in US market
title_sort asymmetric responses of stock prices in us market
url https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2021/01/itmconf_icmsa2021_01013.pdf
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