Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

This study aimed to create a risk score generated from CT-based radiomics signatures that could be used to predict overall survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We retrospectively enrolled three sets of NSCLC patients (including 336, 84, and 157 patients for training, testing...

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Main Authors: Viet-Huan Le, Quang-Hien Kha, Truong Nguyen Khanh Hung, Nguyen Quoc Khanh Le
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Cancers
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/13/14/3616
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author Viet-Huan Le
Quang-Hien Kha
Truong Nguyen Khanh Hung
Nguyen Quoc Khanh Le
author_facet Viet-Huan Le
Quang-Hien Kha
Truong Nguyen Khanh Hung
Nguyen Quoc Khanh Le
author_sort Viet-Huan Le
collection DOAJ
description This study aimed to create a risk score generated from CT-based radiomics signatures that could be used to predict overall survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We retrospectively enrolled three sets of NSCLC patients (including 336, 84, and 157 patients for training, testing, and validation set, respectively). A total of 851 radiomics features for each patient from CT images were extracted for further analyses. The most important features (strongly linked with overall survival) were chosen by pairwise correlation analysis, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression model, and univariate Cox proportional hazard regression. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model survival analysis was used to create risk scores for each patient, and Kaplan–Meier was used to separate patients into two groups: high-risk and low-risk, respectively. ROC curve assessed the prediction ability of the risk score model for overall survival compared to clinical parameters. The risk score, which developed from ten radiomics signatures model, was found to be independent of age, gender, and stage for predicting overall survival in NSCLC patients (HR, 2.99; 95% CI, 2.27–3.93; <i>p</i> < 0.001) and overall survival prediction ability was 0.696 (95% CI, 0.635–0.758), 0.705 (95% CI, 0.649–0.762), 0.657 (95% CI, 0.589–0.726) (AUC) for 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, in the training set. The risk score is more likely to have a better accuracy in predicting survival at 1, 3, and 5 years than clinical parameters, such as age 0.57 (95% CI, 0.499–0.64), 0.552 (95% CI, 0.489–0.616), 0.621 (95% CI, 0.544–0.689) (AUC); gender 0.554, 0.546, 0.566 (AUC); stage 0.527, 0.501, 0.459 (AUC), respectively, in 1, 3 and 5 years in the training set. In the training set, the Kaplan–Meier curve revealed that NSCLC patients in the high-risk group had a lower overall survival time than the low-risk group (<i>p</i> < 0.001). We also had similar results that were statistically significant in the testing and validation set. In conclusion, risk scores developed from ten radiomics signatures models have great potential to predict overall survival in NSCLC patients compared to the clinical parameters. This model was able to stratify NSCLC patients into high-risk and low-risk groups regarding the overall survival prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-c8e2768a7ea14280a598eb9bb48d7c692023-11-22T03:26:19ZengMDPI AGCancers2072-66942021-07-011314361610.3390/cancers13143616Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung CancerViet-Huan Le0Quang-Hien Kha1Truong Nguyen Khanh Hung2Nguyen Quoc Khanh Le3International Master/Ph.D. Program in Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, TaiwanInternational Master/Ph.D. Program in Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, TaiwanInternational Master/Ph.D. Program in Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, TaiwanInternational Master/Ph.D. Program in Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, TaiwanThis study aimed to create a risk score generated from CT-based radiomics signatures that could be used to predict overall survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We retrospectively enrolled three sets of NSCLC patients (including 336, 84, and 157 patients for training, testing, and validation set, respectively). A total of 851 radiomics features for each patient from CT images were extracted for further analyses. The most important features (strongly linked with overall survival) were chosen by pairwise correlation analysis, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression model, and univariate Cox proportional hazard regression. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model survival analysis was used to create risk scores for each patient, and Kaplan–Meier was used to separate patients into two groups: high-risk and low-risk, respectively. ROC curve assessed the prediction ability of the risk score model for overall survival compared to clinical parameters. The risk score, which developed from ten radiomics signatures model, was found to be independent of age, gender, and stage for predicting overall survival in NSCLC patients (HR, 2.99; 95% CI, 2.27–3.93; <i>p</i> < 0.001) and overall survival prediction ability was 0.696 (95% CI, 0.635–0.758), 0.705 (95% CI, 0.649–0.762), 0.657 (95% CI, 0.589–0.726) (AUC) for 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, in the training set. The risk score is more likely to have a better accuracy in predicting survival at 1, 3, and 5 years than clinical parameters, such as age 0.57 (95% CI, 0.499–0.64), 0.552 (95% CI, 0.489–0.616), 0.621 (95% CI, 0.544–0.689) (AUC); gender 0.554, 0.546, 0.566 (AUC); stage 0.527, 0.501, 0.459 (AUC), respectively, in 1, 3 and 5 years in the training set. In the training set, the Kaplan–Meier curve revealed that NSCLC patients in the high-risk group had a lower overall survival time than the low-risk group (<i>p</i> < 0.001). We also had similar results that were statistically significant in the testing and validation set. In conclusion, risk scores developed from ten radiomics signatures models have great potential to predict overall survival in NSCLC patients compared to the clinical parameters. This model was able to stratify NSCLC patients into high-risk and low-risk groups regarding the overall survival prediction.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/13/14/3616non-small cell lung cancerradiomics radiologyoverall survivalprognostic biomarkersmultivariate analysis
spellingShingle Viet-Huan Le
Quang-Hien Kha
Truong Nguyen Khanh Hung
Nguyen Quoc Khanh Le
Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Cancers
non-small cell lung cancer
radiomics radiology
overall survival
prognostic biomarkers
multivariate analysis
title Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
title_full Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
title_fullStr Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
title_full_unstemmed Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
title_short Risk Score Generated from CT-Based Radiomics Signatures for Overall Survival Prediction in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
title_sort risk score generated from ct based radiomics signatures for overall survival prediction in non small cell lung cancer
topic non-small cell lung cancer
radiomics radiology
overall survival
prognostic biomarkers
multivariate analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/13/14/3616
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AT truongnguyenkhanhhung riskscoregeneratedfromctbasedradiomicssignaturesforoverallsurvivalpredictioninnonsmallcelllungcancer
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