Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province

Huanggang is one of the areas with frequent geological disasters in the flood season in Hubei Province. The main types of geological disaster are landslides, accounting for 75% of rainfall-induced landslides. Therefore, this paper statistically analyzes the correlation between rainfall and landslide...

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Main Authors: Wenhui Zhu, Echuan Yan, Hao Zou, Bing Chen, Weibo Xiao
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology 2022-11-01
Series:地质科技通报
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dzkjqb.cug.edu.cn/en/article/doi/10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2022.0132
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author Wenhui Zhu
Echuan Yan
Hao Zou
Bing Chen
Weibo Xiao
author_facet Wenhui Zhu
Echuan Yan
Hao Zou
Bing Chen
Weibo Xiao
author_sort Wenhui Zhu
collection DOAJ
description Huanggang is one of the areas with frequent geological disasters in the flood season in Hubei Province. The main types of geological disaster are landslides, accounting for 75% of rainfall-induced landslides. Therefore, this paper statistically analyzes the correlation between rainfall and landslides in Huanggang City over the last 10 years, studies the rainfall threshold of rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City based on considering the prone zoning of geological disasters, establishes the effective rainfall model of landslide occurrence by using the logistic regression model and then puts forward the corresponding meteorological early warning criterion for different prone zone areas. Finally, the rationality and reliability of the early warning criterion are tested by historical rainfall and landslide events. The results show that the meteorological early warning criterion established significantly improves the accuracy of meteorological early warning for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, provides refined technical guidance for disaster transfer, and effectively reduces the loss of life and property caused by rainfall-induced landslides.
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spelling doaj.art-c8e3e3832c564b5f8407c45bb87cf2342024-03-05T02:57:40ZzhoEditorial Department of Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology地质科技通报2096-85232022-11-01416455310.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2022.0132dzkjtb-41-6-45Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei ProvinceWenhui Zhu0Echuan Yan1Hao Zou2Bing Chen3Weibo Xiao4Hubei Geological Bureau Third Geological Brigade, Huanggang Hubei 438000, ChinaChina University of Geosciences(Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, ChinaHubei Geological Bureau Third Geological Brigade, Huanggang Hubei 438000, ChinaHubei Geological Bureau Third Geological Brigade, Huanggang Hubei 438000, ChinaChina University of Geosciences(Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, ChinaHuanggang is one of the areas with frequent geological disasters in the flood season in Hubei Province. The main types of geological disaster are landslides, accounting for 75% of rainfall-induced landslides. Therefore, this paper statistically analyzes the correlation between rainfall and landslides in Huanggang City over the last 10 years, studies the rainfall threshold of rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City based on considering the prone zoning of geological disasters, establishes the effective rainfall model of landslide occurrence by using the logistic regression model and then puts forward the corresponding meteorological early warning criterion for different prone zone areas. Finally, the rationality and reliability of the early warning criterion are tested by historical rainfall and landslide events. The results show that the meteorological early warning criterion established significantly improves the accuracy of meteorological early warning for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, provides refined technical guidance for disaster transfer, and effectively reduces the loss of life and property caused by rainfall-induced landslides.https://dzkjqb.cug.edu.cn/en/article/doi/10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2022.0132huanggang cityrainfall-induced landslidesusceptibility zoningrainfall thresholdlogistic regression modelearly warning criterion
spellingShingle Wenhui Zhu
Echuan Yan
Hao Zou
Bing Chen
Weibo Xiao
Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province
地质科技通报
huanggang city
rainfall-induced landslide
susceptibility zoning
rainfall threshold
logistic regression model
early warning criterion
title Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province
title_full Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province
title_fullStr Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province
title_full_unstemmed Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province
title_short Meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall-induced landslides in Huanggang City, Hubei Province
title_sort meteorological early warning criterion for rainfall induced landslides in huanggang city hubei province
topic huanggang city
rainfall-induced landslide
susceptibility zoning
rainfall threshold
logistic regression model
early warning criterion
url https://dzkjqb.cug.edu.cn/en/article/doi/10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2022.0132
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