Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks

Most organisms are more closely related to nearby than distant members of their species, creating spatial autocorrelations in genetic data. This allows us to predict the location of origin of a genetic sample by comparing it to a set of samples of known geographic origin. Here, we describe a deep le...

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Main Authors: CJ Battey, Peter L Ralph, Andrew D Kern
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd 2020-06-01
Series:eLife
Subjects:
Online Access:https://elifesciences.org/articles/54507
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author CJ Battey
Peter L Ralph
Andrew D Kern
author_facet CJ Battey
Peter L Ralph
Andrew D Kern
author_sort CJ Battey
collection DOAJ
description Most organisms are more closely related to nearby than distant members of their species, creating spatial autocorrelations in genetic data. This allows us to predict the location of origin of a genetic sample by comparing it to a set of samples of known geographic origin. Here, we describe a deep learning method, which we call Locator, to accomplish this task faster and more accurately than existing approaches. In simulations, Locator infers sample location to within 4.1 generations of dispersal and runs at least an order of magnitude faster than a recent model-based approach. We leverage Locator’s computational efficiency to predict locations separately in windows across the genome, which allows us to both quantify uncertainty and describe the mosaic ancestry and patterns of geographic mixing that characterize many populations. Applied to whole-genome sequence data from Plasmodium parasites, Anopheles mosquitoes, and global human populations, this approach yields median test errors of 16.9km, 5.7km, and 85km, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-c8f96fbabc284438b9d14bd1d30b68782022-12-22T04:32:18ZengeLife Sciences Publications LtdeLife2050-084X2020-06-01910.7554/eLife.54507Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networksCJ Battey0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9958-4282Peter L Ralph1Andrew D Kern2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4381-4680University of Oregon, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, Eugene, United StatesUniversity of Oregon, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, Eugene, United StatesUniversity of Oregon, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, Eugene, United StatesMost organisms are more closely related to nearby than distant members of their species, creating spatial autocorrelations in genetic data. This allows us to predict the location of origin of a genetic sample by comparing it to a set of samples of known geographic origin. Here, we describe a deep learning method, which we call Locator, to accomplish this task faster and more accurately than existing approaches. In simulations, Locator infers sample location to within 4.1 generations of dispersal and runs at least an order of magnitude faster than a recent model-based approach. We leverage Locator’s computational efficiency to predict locations separately in windows across the genome, which allows us to both quantify uncertainty and describe the mosaic ancestry and patterns of geographic mixing that characterize many populations. Applied to whole-genome sequence data from Plasmodium parasites, Anopheles mosquitoes, and global human populations, this approach yields median test errors of 16.9km, 5.7km, and 85km, respectively.https://elifesciences.org/articles/54507PlasmodiumhumanAnopheles
spellingShingle CJ Battey
Peter L Ralph
Andrew D Kern
Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
eLife
Plasmodium
human
Anopheles
title Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
title_full Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
title_fullStr Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
title_short Predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
title_sort predicting geographic location from genetic variation with deep neural networks
topic Plasmodium
human
Anopheles
url https://elifesciences.org/articles/54507
work_keys_str_mv AT cjbattey predictinggeographiclocationfromgeneticvariationwithdeepneuralnetworks
AT peterlralph predictinggeographiclocationfromgeneticvariationwithdeepneuralnetworks
AT andrewdkern predictinggeographiclocationfromgeneticvariationwithdeepneuralnetworks