Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario

This paper inspects the intercommunication between inflation and economic growth for ten (10) selected countries using annual data series collected from World Bank Development Indicator. GDP and CPI data are used in this regard. Series are found to be stationary at level 1.  Residual and Johansen C...

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Main Authors: Monir Ahmmed, Md. Nezum Uddin, Md. Rafiqul Islam Rafiq, Mohammed Jashim Uddin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2020-07-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/9942
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author Monir Ahmmed
Md. Nezum Uddin
Md. Rafiqul Islam Rafiq
Mohammed Jashim Uddin
author_facet Monir Ahmmed
Md. Nezum Uddin
Md. Rafiqul Islam Rafiq
Mohammed Jashim Uddin
author_sort Monir Ahmmed
collection DOAJ
description This paper inspects the intercommunication between inflation and economic growth for ten (10) selected countries using annual data series collected from World Bank Development Indicator. GDP and CPI data are used in this regard. Series are found to be stationary at level 1.  Residual and Johansen Cointegration tests confirm the long-run relationship between variables. Short-run dynamics are checked by the Error Correction Model. Desired negative signs are contained in the ECT for all sequences, and absolute values are less than 1. Except for the UK data, the inflation imbalance will be adjusted by economic growth for all countries and vice versa. The ECT of India is observed to be high-0,736 and-0862, suggesting that 73% and 86% of imbalances would converge in long-term equilibrium owing to shifts in inflation and economic growth, respectively. The sensitivity of inflation to growth and vice versa varies from country to country. The study also shows that the association between inflation and economic growth is favorable for some countries and the opposite for other countries. Such outcomes lead policymakers to enact policies to regulate the economy in the context of macroeconomic management. Keywords: Multi-countries, Consumer Price Index, Economic growth rate, Cointegration, Error Correction Model. JEL Classifications: E20, E31, E32, O5, O40, O47 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9942
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spelling doaj.art-c9085739b4454ccdb9720ef97c67e78e2023-02-15T16:20:15ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382020-07-011044626Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country ScenarioMonir AhmmedMd. Nezum Uddin0Md. Rafiqul Islam RafiqMohammed Jashim UddinMd. Nezum Uddin Assistant Professor Department of Economics & Banking International Islamic University Chittagong (IIUC) This paper inspects the intercommunication between inflation and economic growth for ten (10) selected countries using annual data series collected from World Bank Development Indicator. GDP and CPI data are used in this regard. Series are found to be stationary at level 1.  Residual and Johansen Cointegration tests confirm the long-run relationship between variables. Short-run dynamics are checked by the Error Correction Model. Desired negative signs are contained in the ECT for all sequences, and absolute values are less than 1. Except for the UK data, the inflation imbalance will be adjusted by economic growth for all countries and vice versa. The ECT of India is observed to be high-0,736 and-0862, suggesting that 73% and 86% of imbalances would converge in long-term equilibrium owing to shifts in inflation and economic growth, respectively. The sensitivity of inflation to growth and vice versa varies from country to country. The study also shows that the association between inflation and economic growth is favorable for some countries and the opposite for other countries. Such outcomes lead policymakers to enact policies to regulate the economy in the context of macroeconomic management. Keywords: Multi-countries, Consumer Price Index, Economic growth rate, Cointegration, Error Correction Model. JEL Classifications: E20, E31, E32, O5, O40, O47 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9942 https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/9942
spellingShingle Monir Ahmmed
Md. Nezum Uddin
Md. Rafiqul Islam Rafiq
Mohammed Jashim Uddin
Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario
title_full Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario
title_fullStr Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario
title_full_unstemmed Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario
title_short Inflation and Economic Growth Link – Multi-Country Scenario
title_sort inflation and economic growth link multi country scenario
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/9942
work_keys_str_mv AT monirahmmed inflationandeconomicgrowthlinkmulticountryscenario
AT mdnezumuddin inflationandeconomicgrowthlinkmulticountryscenario
AT mdrafiqulislamrafiq inflationandeconomicgrowthlinkmulticountryscenario
AT mohammedjashimuddin inflationandeconomicgrowthlinkmulticountryscenario