Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose
Crop yield forecast plays a vital role in arriving at pre-harvest yield estimate of a standing crop and to identify the stage at which reliable forecasting could be made before final harvest. In this paper, an attempt has been made to apply the regression technique for prediction of yield in rose....
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Society for Promotion of Horticulture - Indian Institute of Horticultural Research
2006-06-01
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Series: | Journal of Horticultural Sciences |
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Online Access: | https://jhs.iihr.res.in/index.php/jhs/article/view/680 |
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author | K S Shamasundaran R Yenugopalan |
author_facet | K S Shamasundaran R Yenugopalan |
author_sort | K S Shamasundaran |
collection | DOAJ |
description |
Crop yield forecast plays a vital role in arriving at pre-harvest yield estimate of a standing crop and to identify the stage at which reliable forecasting could be made before final harvest. In this paper, an attempt has been made to apply the regression technique for prediction of yield in rose. Rose, is an important flower crop not only for internal market but is also intended for export, and since it shrivels, estimation of yield of a standing crop before its actual harvest is essential. Based on results a model was developed, which showed that information from the first two pickings of a standing crop could be used to forecast rose yield to an extent of 77% two months before final harvest. It is also suggested to have a minimum sample size of 20 % to develop such a forecast model.
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first_indexed | 2024-03-12T14:14:53Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-c910de51d84c41a39e2789e48b78c954 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0973-354X 2582-4899 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-12T14:14:53Z |
publishDate | 2006-06-01 |
publisher | Society for Promotion of Horticulture - Indian Institute of Horticultural Research |
record_format | Article |
series | Journal of Horticultural Sciences |
spelling | doaj.art-c910de51d84c41a39e2789e48b78c9542023-08-20T14:05:20ZengSociety for Promotion of Horticulture - Indian Institute of Horticultural ResearchJournal of Horticultural Sciences0973-354X2582-48992006-06-011110.24154/jhs.v1i1.680670Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with RoseK S ShamasundaranR Yenugopalan Crop yield forecast plays a vital role in arriving at pre-harvest yield estimate of a standing crop and to identify the stage at which reliable forecasting could be made before final harvest. In this paper, an attempt has been made to apply the regression technique for prediction of yield in rose. Rose, is an important flower crop not only for internal market but is also intended for export, and since it shrivels, estimation of yield of a standing crop before its actual harvest is essential. Based on results a model was developed, which showed that information from the first two pickings of a standing crop could be used to forecast rose yield to an extent of 77% two months before final harvest. It is also suggested to have a minimum sample size of 20 % to develop such a forecast model. https://jhs.iihr.res.in/index.php/jhs/article/view/680Goodness of Fit StatisticsStatistical ModellingYield Forecast |
spellingShingle | K S Shamasundaran R Yenugopalan Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose Journal of Horticultural Sciences Goodness of Fit Statistics Statistical Modelling Yield Forecast |
title | Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose |
title_full | Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose |
title_fullStr | Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose |
title_full_unstemmed | Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose |
title_short | Statistical Modelling for Pre-Harvest Forecast:An Illustration with Rose |
title_sort | statistical modelling for pre harvest forecast an illustration with rose |
topic | Goodness of Fit Statistics Statistical Modelling Yield Forecast |
url | https://jhs.iihr.res.in/index.php/jhs/article/view/680 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ksshamasundaran statisticalmodellingforpreharvestforecastanillustrationwithrose AT ryenugopalan statisticalmodellingforpreharvestforecastanillustrationwithrose |