Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts

We examine the impact of managerial sentiment on analysts' following decisions and earnings forecast accuracy. By analyzing the textual tone of management discussion and analysis sections in annual reports to capture managerial sentiment, we find that when managerial sentiment is more positive,...

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Main Authors: Yongliang Zeng, Kam C. Chan, Yunzhu Chen, Lingjie Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-03-01
Series:Borsa Istanbul Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845022000928
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author Yongliang Zeng
Kam C. Chan
Yunzhu Chen
Lingjie Li
author_facet Yongliang Zeng
Kam C. Chan
Yunzhu Chen
Lingjie Li
author_sort Yongliang Zeng
collection DOAJ
description We examine the impact of managerial sentiment on analysts' following decisions and earnings forecast accuracy. By analyzing the textual tone of management discussion and analysis sections in annual reports to capture managerial sentiment, we find that when managerial sentiment is more positive, firms attract more analyst following, while analysts' earnings forecasts become more accurate. The findings are robust to firm- and analyst-level forecasts, as well as to alternative metrics of managerial sentiment and analyst earnings forecasts. Additional analysis suggests that the impact is more salient for firms with high-quality information environments and non-star analysts.
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spelling doaj.art-c98331cd16f7408abbb614dd6014fdb82023-03-29T09:26:48ZengElsevierBorsa Istanbul Review2214-84502023-03-01232269284Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecastsYongliang Zeng0Kam C. Chan1Yunzhu Chen2Lingjie Li3Business School, Hunan University, Changsha, ChinaResearch Center of Finance, Shanghai Business School, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author.School of Accounting, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, ChinaBusiness School, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaWe examine the impact of managerial sentiment on analysts' following decisions and earnings forecast accuracy. By analyzing the textual tone of management discussion and analysis sections in annual reports to capture managerial sentiment, we find that when managerial sentiment is more positive, firms attract more analyst following, while analysts' earnings forecasts become more accurate. The findings are robust to firm- and analyst-level forecasts, as well as to alternative metrics of managerial sentiment and analyst earnings forecasts. Additional analysis suggests that the impact is more salient for firms with high-quality information environments and non-star analysts.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845022000928Managerial sentimentTextual analysisAnalysts followingEarnings forecast accuracy
spellingShingle Yongliang Zeng
Kam C. Chan
Yunzhu Chen
Lingjie Li
Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts
Borsa Istanbul Review
Managerial sentiment
Textual analysis
Analysts following
Earnings forecast accuracy
title Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts
title_full Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts
title_fullStr Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts
title_full_unstemmed Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts
title_short Do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment? Evidence from analysts' following decisions and earnings forecasts
title_sort do analysts pay attention to managerial sentiment evidence from analysts following decisions and earnings forecasts
topic Managerial sentiment
Textual analysis
Analysts following
Earnings forecast accuracy
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845022000928
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AT kamcchan doanalystspayattentiontomanagerialsentimentevidencefromanalystsfollowingdecisionsandearningsforecasts
AT yunzhuchen doanalystspayattentiontomanagerialsentimentevidencefromanalystsfollowingdecisionsandearningsforecasts
AT lingjieli doanalystspayattentiontomanagerialsentimentevidencefromanalystsfollowingdecisionsandearningsforecasts