Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review

Experiencing the highest growth in emissions since 1990 and relying mainly on oil, transport is considered the most complicated sector to decarbonize. Lately, the Nordic countries have shown remarkable success in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially in the power and heat sector. Howev...

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Main Authors: Raffaele Salvucci, Stefan Petrović, Kenneth Karlsson, Markus Wråke, Tanu Priya Uteng, Olexandr Balyk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-06-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/12/2232
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author Raffaele Salvucci
Stefan Petrović
Kenneth Karlsson
Markus Wråke
Tanu Priya Uteng
Olexandr Balyk
author_facet Raffaele Salvucci
Stefan Petrović
Kenneth Karlsson
Markus Wråke
Tanu Priya Uteng
Olexandr Balyk
author_sort Raffaele Salvucci
collection DOAJ
description Experiencing the highest growth in emissions since 1990 and relying mainly on oil, transport is considered the most complicated sector to decarbonize. Lately, the Nordic countries have shown remarkable success in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially in the power and heat sector. However, when it comes to transportation, the greatest source of Nordic GHG emissions, stronger measures are needed. Relying on a rich and diversified portfolio of renewable sources and expertise, the Nordic countries could benefit from a common mitigation strategy by encompassing a larger variety of solutions and potential synergies. This article reviews studies addressing integrated energy and transport scenario analysis for the Nordic region as a whole. The studies targeted are those applying energy system models, given their extensive adoption in supporting scenario analysis. Most notable of these studies is the “Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives 2016” to which a special focus is dedicated. The article reviews the methodological choices and the research content of the selected literature. Challenges/limitations are identified in light of recent transport research, and categorized as: “transport behavior”, “breakthrough technologies”, “domestic energy resources” and “geographical aggregation and system boundaries”. Lastly, a list of suggestions to tackle the identified gaps is provided based on the existing literature.
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spelling doaj.art-c996b2b2660c4c4bbd632670e60a83112022-12-22T04:22:05ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732019-06-011212223210.3390/en12122232en12122232Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical ReviewRaffaele Salvucci0Stefan Petrović1Kenneth Karlsson2Markus Wråke3Tanu Priya Uteng4Olexandr Balyk5DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, DenmarkDTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, DenmarkDTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, DenmarkEnergiforsk AB, Swedish Energy Research Centre, Olof Palmes gata 31, 101 53 Stockholm, SwedenInstitute of Transport Economics, Norwegian Centre for Transport Research (TØI), Gaustadalléen 21, 0349 Oslo, NorwayDTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, DenmarkExperiencing the highest growth in emissions since 1990 and relying mainly on oil, transport is considered the most complicated sector to decarbonize. Lately, the Nordic countries have shown remarkable success in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially in the power and heat sector. However, when it comes to transportation, the greatest source of Nordic GHG emissions, stronger measures are needed. Relying on a rich and diversified portfolio of renewable sources and expertise, the Nordic countries could benefit from a common mitigation strategy by encompassing a larger variety of solutions and potential synergies. This article reviews studies addressing integrated energy and transport scenario analysis for the Nordic region as a whole. The studies targeted are those applying energy system models, given their extensive adoption in supporting scenario analysis. Most notable of these studies is the “Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives 2016” to which a special focus is dedicated. The article reviews the methodological choices and the research content of the selected literature. Challenges/limitations are identified in light of recent transport research, and categorized as: “transport behavior”, “breakthrough technologies”, “domestic energy resources” and “geographical aggregation and system boundaries”. Lastly, a list of suggestions to tackle the identified gaps is provided based on the existing literature.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/12/2232alternative fuelsdecarbonizationenergy system modellinglow-carbon transitionNETP 2016sustainable mobilitytransport behavior
spellingShingle Raffaele Salvucci
Stefan Petrović
Kenneth Karlsson
Markus Wråke
Tanu Priya Uteng
Olexandr Balyk
Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
Energies
alternative fuels
decarbonization
energy system modelling
low-carbon transition
NETP 2016
sustainable mobility
transport behavior
title Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
title_full Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
title_fullStr Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
title_full_unstemmed Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
title_short Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
title_sort energy scenario analysis for the nordic transport sector a critical review
topic alternative fuels
decarbonization
energy system modelling
low-carbon transition
NETP 2016
sustainable mobility
transport behavior
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/12/2232
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AT markuswrake energyscenarioanalysisforthenordictransportsectoracriticalreview
AT tanupriyauteng energyscenarioanalysisforthenordictransportsectoracriticalreview
AT olexandrbalyk energyscenarioanalysisforthenordictransportsectoracriticalreview