Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case

Eucalyptus plantations are productive and short rotation forests prevalent in tropical areas that experience fast expansion and face controversies in ecological issues. In this study, we perform a systematic analysis of factors influencing eucalyptus growth through plot records from the National For...

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Main Authors: Miaoying Shi, Jintao Xu, Shilei Liu, Zhenci Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-02-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/2/340
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author Miaoying Shi
Jintao Xu
Shilei Liu
Zhenci Xu
author_facet Miaoying Shi
Jintao Xu
Shilei Liu
Zhenci Xu
author_sort Miaoying Shi
collection DOAJ
description Eucalyptus plantations are productive and short rotation forests prevalent in tropical areas that experience fast expansion and face controversies in ecological issues. In this study, we perform a systematic analysis of factors influencing eucalyptus growth through plot records from the National Forest Inventories and satellite images. We find primary restricting factors for eucalyptus growth via machine learning algorithms with random forests and accumulated local effects plots, as conventional forest growth models are inadequate to calculate the causal effect with the large number of environmental and socioeconomic factors. As a result, despite common belief that temperature affects eucalyptus growth the most, we find that precipitation is the most evident restricting factor for eucalyptus growth. We then identify and rank key factors that affect timber growth, such as tree density, rotation period, and wood ownership. Finally, we suggest optimal management and planting strategies for local farmers and policymakers to facilitate eucalyptus growth.
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spelling doaj.art-c9b474cf329b4232bcc092c39be268022023-11-23T19:58:00ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072022-02-0113234010.3390/f13020340Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> CaseMiaoying Shi0Jintao Xu1Shilei Liu2Zhenci Xu3School of Social and Public Administration, East China University of Science and Technology, Xuhui District, Shanghai 200237, ChinaNational School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, ChinaSchool of Environment & Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaDepartment of Geography, The University of Hong Kong (HKU), Hong Kong 999077, ChinaEucalyptus plantations are productive and short rotation forests prevalent in tropical areas that experience fast expansion and face controversies in ecological issues. In this study, we perform a systematic analysis of factors influencing eucalyptus growth through plot records from the National Forest Inventories and satellite images. We find primary restricting factors for eucalyptus growth via machine learning algorithms with random forests and accumulated local effects plots, as conventional forest growth models are inadequate to calculate the causal effect with the large number of environmental and socioeconomic factors. As a result, despite common belief that temperature affects eucalyptus growth the most, we find that precipitation is the most evident restricting factor for eucalyptus growth. We then identify and rank key factors that affect timber growth, such as tree density, rotation period, and wood ownership. Finally, we suggest optimal management and planting strategies for local farmers and policymakers to facilitate eucalyptus growth.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/2/340land suitabilitymanagement sensitivityforest plantationtimber volumemachine learning
spellingShingle Miaoying Shi
Jintao Xu
Shilei Liu
Zhenci Xu
Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case
Forests
land suitability
management sensitivity
forest plantation
timber volume
machine learning
title Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case
title_full Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case
title_fullStr Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case
title_full_unstemmed Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case
title_short Productivity-Based Land Suitability and Management Sensitivity Analysis: The Eucalyptus <i>E. urophylla</i> × <i>E. grandis</i> Case
title_sort productivity based land suitability and management sensitivity analysis the eucalyptus i e urophylla i i e grandis i case
topic land suitability
management sensitivity
forest plantation
timber volume
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/2/340
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