Consistent evaluation of ACOS-GOSAT, BESD-SCIAMACHY, CarbonTracker, and MACC through comparisons to TCCON

Consistent validation of satellite CO<sub>2</sub> estimates is a prerequisite for using multiple satellite CO<sub>2</sub> measurements for joint flux inversion, and for establishing an accurate long-term atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> data record. Harmonizing satellit...

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Main Authors: S. Kulawik, D. Wunch, C. O'Dell, C. Frankenberg, M. Reuter, T. Oda, F. Chevallier, V. Sherlock, M. Buchwitz, G. Osterman, C. E. Miller, P. O. Wennberg, D. Griffith, I. Morino, M. K. Dubey, N. M. Deutscher, J. Notholt, F. Hase, T. Warneke, R. Sussmann, J. Robinson, K. Strong, M. Schneider, M. De Mazière, K. Shiomi, D. G. Feist, L. T. Iraci, J. Wolf
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2016-02-01
Series:Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
Online Access:http://www.atmos-meas-tech.net/9/683/2016/amt-9-683-2016.pdf
Description
Summary:Consistent validation of satellite CO<sub>2</sub> estimates is a prerequisite for using multiple satellite CO<sub>2</sub> measurements for joint flux inversion, and for establishing an accurate long-term atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> data record. Harmonizing satellite CO<sub>2</sub> measurements is particularly important since the differences in instruments, observing geometries, sampling strategies, etc. imbue different measurement characteristics in the various satellite CO<sub>2</sub> data products. We focus on validating model and satellite observation attributes that impact flux estimates and CO<sub>2</sub> assimilation, including accurate error estimates, correlated and random errors, overall biases, biases by season and latitude, the impact of coincidence criteria, validation of seasonal cycle phase and amplitude, yearly growth, and daily variability. We evaluate dry-air mole fraction (X<sub>CO<sub>2</sub></sub>) for Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT) (Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> Observations from Space, ACOS b3.5) and SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY (SCIAMACHY) (Bremen Optimal Estimation DOAS, BESD v2.00.08) as well as the CarbonTracker (CT2013b) simulated CO<sub>2</sub> mole fraction fields and the Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) CO<sub>2</sub> inversion system (v13.1) and compare these to Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) observations (GGG2012/2014). We find standard deviations of 0.9, 0.9, 1.7, and 2.1 ppm vs. TCCON for CT2013b, MACC, GOSAT, and SCIAMACHY, respectively, with the single observation errors 1.9 and 0.9 times the predicted errors for GOSAT and SCIAMACHY, respectively. We quantify how satellite error drops with data averaging by interpreting according to error<sup>2</sup> = <i>a</i><sup>2</sup> + <i>b</i><sup>2</sup>/<i>n</i> (with <i>n</i> being the number of observations averaged, <i>a</i> the systematic (correlated) errors, and <i>b</i> the random (uncorrelated) errors). <i>a</i> and <i>b</i> are estimated by satellites, coincidence criteria, and hemisphere. Biases at individual stations have year-to-year variability of  ∼  0.3 ppm, with biases larger than the TCCON-predicted bias uncertainty of 0.4 ppm at many stations. We find that GOSAT and CT2013b underpredict the seasonal cycle amplitude in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) between 46 and 53° N, MACC overpredicts between 26 and 37° N, and CT2013b underpredicts the seasonal cycle amplitude in the Southern Hemisphere (SH). The seasonal cycle phase indicates whether a data set or model lags another data set in time. We find that the GOSAT measurements improve the seasonal cycle phase substantially over the prior while SCIAMACHY measurements improve the phase significantly for just two of seven sites. The models reproduce the measured seasonal cycle phase well except for at Lauder_125HR (CT2013b) and Darwin (MACC). We compare the variability within 1 day between TCCON and models in JJA; there is correlation between 0.2 and 0.8 in the NH, with models showing 10&ndash;50 % the variability of TCCON at different stations and CT2013b showing more variability than MACC. This paper highlights findings that provide inputs to estimate flux errors in model assimilations, and places where models and satellites need further investigation, e.g., the SH for models and 45&ndash;67° N for GOSAT and CT2013b.
ISSN:1867-1381
1867-8548