Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models

Sensitivity analysis is applied to ship manoeuvring mathematical models as a means of dealing with model uncertainties, and often leads to model simplifications. A rather standard 3DOF manoeuvring model was tuned with the available results of full-scale trials of a naval combatant and was further us...

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Main Authors: P. Pires da Silva, Serge Sutulo, C. Guedes Soares
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/2/416
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author P. Pires da Silva
Serge Sutulo
C. Guedes Soares
author_facet P. Pires da Silva
Serge Sutulo
C. Guedes Soares
author_sort P. Pires da Silva
collection DOAJ
description Sensitivity analysis is applied to ship manoeuvring mathematical models as a means of dealing with model uncertainties, and often leads to model simplifications. A rather standard 3DOF manoeuvring model was tuned with the available results of full-scale trials of a naval combatant and was further used as the reference model for sensitivity analysis. The present research was based on multiple perturbed simulations of the turning, zigzag and spiral manoeuvres. A salient feature of the present study is that the perturbations were applied to the total hydrodynamic forces and moments as well as separately to their characteristic parts, i.e., to the linear and nonlinear single-variable and coupled components. Another special feature is that the deviations of the perturbated responses were estimated not only considering the standard manoeuvring performance indices, but also through application of the Euclidean metric directly to the time histories and to the spiral curve. The performed analysis permitted the sensitivity of the model to be traced to various parameters and groups thereof. It was established that the highest sensitivity of the model was to linear and some nonlinear multivariable parameters, and the Euclidean metric permitted a more detailed analysis than that based only on standard discrete manoeuvring indices. The obtained results are expected to be useful in the application of system identification methods to typical inherently stable fast surface-displacement ships.
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spelling doaj.art-ca71c353d6c74d498349cff184a0bda82023-11-16T21:28:50ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122023-02-0111241610.3390/jmse11020416Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical ModelsP. Pires da Silva0Serge Sutulo1C. Guedes Soares2Portuguese Navy Research Center (CINAV), Portuguese Naval Academy, 2810-001 Almada, PortugalCentre for Marine Technology and Ocean Engineering (CENTEC), Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisboa, PortugalCentre for Marine Technology and Ocean Engineering (CENTEC), Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisboa, PortugalSensitivity analysis is applied to ship manoeuvring mathematical models as a means of dealing with model uncertainties, and often leads to model simplifications. A rather standard 3DOF manoeuvring model was tuned with the available results of full-scale trials of a naval combatant and was further used as the reference model for sensitivity analysis. The present research was based on multiple perturbed simulations of the turning, zigzag and spiral manoeuvres. A salient feature of the present study is that the perturbations were applied to the total hydrodynamic forces and moments as well as separately to their characteristic parts, i.e., to the linear and nonlinear single-variable and coupled components. Another special feature is that the deviations of the perturbated responses were estimated not only considering the standard manoeuvring performance indices, but also through application of the Euclidean metric directly to the time histories and to the spiral curve. The performed analysis permitted the sensitivity of the model to be traced to various parameters and groups thereof. It was established that the highest sensitivity of the model was to linear and some nonlinear multivariable parameters, and the Euclidean metric permitted a more detailed analysis than that based only on standard discrete manoeuvring indices. The obtained results are expected to be useful in the application of system identification methods to typical inherently stable fast surface-displacement ships.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/2/416sensitivity analysisuncertaintyindirect method<i>L</i><sub>2</sub> metricmanoeuvring model of a naval combatant
spellingShingle P. Pires da Silva
Serge Sutulo
C. Guedes Soares
Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
sensitivity analysis
uncertainty
indirect method
<i>L</i><sub>2</sub> metric
manoeuvring model of a naval combatant
title Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models
title_full Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models
title_fullStr Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models
title_short Sensitivity Analysis of Ship Manoeuvring Mathematical Models
title_sort sensitivity analysis of ship manoeuvring mathematical models
topic sensitivity analysis
uncertainty
indirect method
<i>L</i><sub>2</sub> metric
manoeuvring model of a naval combatant
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/2/416
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