Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia

The reduction of traffic crashes, as well as their socio-economic consequences, has captivated the attention of safety professionals and transportation agencies. The most important activity for an effective road safety practice is to identify hazardous roadway areas based on a spatial pattern analys...

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Main Authors: Alamirew Mulugeta Tola, Tamene Adugna Demissie, Fokke Saathoff, Alemayehu Gebissa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-09-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/19/8828
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author Alamirew Mulugeta Tola
Tamene Adugna Demissie
Fokke Saathoff
Alemayehu Gebissa
author_facet Alamirew Mulugeta Tola
Tamene Adugna Demissie
Fokke Saathoff
Alemayehu Gebissa
author_sort Alamirew Mulugeta Tola
collection DOAJ
description The reduction of traffic crashes, as well as their socio-economic consequences, has captivated the attention of safety professionals and transportation agencies. The most important activity for an effective road safety practice is to identify hazardous roadway areas based on a spatial pattern analysis of crashes and an evaluation of crash spatial relations with neighboring areas and other relevant factors. For decades, safety researchers have adopted several techniques to analyze historical road traffic crash (RTC) information using the advanced GIS-based hot spot analysis. The objective of this study is to present a GIS technique for identifying crash hot spots based on spatial autocorrelation analysis using a four-year (2014–2017) crash data across Ethiopian regions, as well as zones and towns in the Oromia region. The study considered the corresponding severity values of RTCs for the analysis and ranking of crash hot spot areas. The spatial autocorrelation tool in ArcGIS 10.5 was used to analyze the spatial patterns of RTCs and then the Getis Ord <i>Gi*</i> statistics tool was used to identify high and low crash severity cluster zones. The results showed that the methods used in this analysis, which incorporated Moran’s I spatial autocorrelation of crash incidents, Getis Ord <i>Gi*</i> and crash severity index, proved to be a fruitful strategy for identifying and ranking crash hot spots. The identified crash hot spot areas are along the entrance to and exit from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia’s capital city, so the responsible bodies and traffic management agencies should give top priority attention and conduct a thorough study to reduce the socio-economic effect of RTCs.
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spelling doaj.art-ca7d6cbf32384202b8c752a0327bf7c72023-11-22T15:43:35ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172021-09-011119882810.3390/app11198828Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in EthiopiaAlamirew Mulugeta Tola0Tamene Adugna Demissie1Fokke Saathoff2Alemayehu Gebissa3Faculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Geotechnics and Coastal Engineering, Rostock University, 18051 Rostock, GermanyFaculty of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Jimma University, Jimma 378, EthiopiaFaculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Geotechnics and Coastal Engineering, Rostock University, 18051 Rostock, GermanyFaculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Geotechnics and Coastal Engineering, Rostock University, 18051 Rostock, GermanyThe reduction of traffic crashes, as well as their socio-economic consequences, has captivated the attention of safety professionals and transportation agencies. The most important activity for an effective road safety practice is to identify hazardous roadway areas based on a spatial pattern analysis of crashes and an evaluation of crash spatial relations with neighboring areas and other relevant factors. For decades, safety researchers have adopted several techniques to analyze historical road traffic crash (RTC) information using the advanced GIS-based hot spot analysis. The objective of this study is to present a GIS technique for identifying crash hot spots based on spatial autocorrelation analysis using a four-year (2014–2017) crash data across Ethiopian regions, as well as zones and towns in the Oromia region. The study considered the corresponding severity values of RTCs for the analysis and ranking of crash hot spot areas. The spatial autocorrelation tool in ArcGIS 10.5 was used to analyze the spatial patterns of RTCs and then the Getis Ord <i>Gi*</i> statistics tool was used to identify high and low crash severity cluster zones. The results showed that the methods used in this analysis, which incorporated Moran’s I spatial autocorrelation of crash incidents, Getis Ord <i>Gi*</i> and crash severity index, proved to be a fruitful strategy for identifying and ranking crash hot spots. The identified crash hot spot areas are along the entrance to and exit from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia’s capital city, so the responsible bodies and traffic management agencies should give top priority attention and conduct a thorough study to reduce the socio-economic effect of RTCs.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/19/8828crash severityGetis Ord <i>Gi*</i>road traffic crash (RTC)spatial autocorrelation
spellingShingle Alamirew Mulugeta Tola
Tamene Adugna Demissie
Fokke Saathoff
Alemayehu Gebissa
Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia
Applied Sciences
crash severity
Getis Ord <i>Gi*</i>
road traffic crash (RTC)
spatial autocorrelation
title Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia
title_full Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia
title_fullStr Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia
title_short Severity, Spatial Pattern and Statistical Analysis of Road Traffic Crash Hot Spots in Ethiopia
title_sort severity spatial pattern and statistical analysis of road traffic crash hot spots in ethiopia
topic crash severity
Getis Ord <i>Gi*</i>
road traffic crash (RTC)
spatial autocorrelation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/19/8828
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