On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6

<p>Many modelling groups that contribute to CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) have found a larger equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) with their latest model versions compared with the values obtained with the earlier versions used in CMIP5. This is also the case for the...

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Main Authors: K. Wyser, T. van Noije, S. Yang, J. von Hardenberg, D. O'Donnell, R. Döscher
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-08-01
Series:Geoscientific Model Development
Online Access:https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3465/2020/gmd-13-3465-2020.pdf
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author K. Wyser
T. van Noije
S. Yang
J. von Hardenberg
J. von Hardenberg
D. O'Donnell
R. Döscher
author_facet K. Wyser
T. van Noije
S. Yang
J. von Hardenberg
J. von Hardenberg
D. O'Donnell
R. Döscher
author_sort K. Wyser
collection DOAJ
description <p>Many modelling groups that contribute to CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) have found a larger equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) with their latest model versions compared with the values obtained with the earlier versions used in CMIP5. This is also the case for the EC-Earth model. Therefore, in this study, we investigate what developments since the CMIP5 era could have caused the increase in the ECS in this model. Apart from increases in the horizontal and vertical resolution, the EC-Earth model has also substantially changed the representation of aerosols; in particular, it has introduced a more sophisticated description of aerosol indirect effects. After testing the model with some of the recent updates switched off, we find that the ECS increase can be attributed to the more advanced treatment of aerosols, with the largest contribution coming from the effect of aerosols on cloud microphysics (cloud lifetime or second indirect effect). The increase in climate sensitivity is unrelated to model tuning, as all experiments were performed with the same tuning parameters and only the representation of the aerosol effects was changed. These results cannot be generalised to other models, as their CMIP5 and CMIP6 versions may differ with respect to aspects other than the aerosol–cloud interaction, but the results highlight the strong sensitivity of ECS to the details of the aerosol forcing.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-cab0e9ec3dc545d3aa511d18c1ba41992022-12-22T01:55:29ZengCopernicus PublicationsGeoscientific Model Development1991-959X1991-96032020-08-01133465347410.5194/gmd-13-3465-2020On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6K. Wyser0T. van Noije1S. Yang2J. von Hardenberg3J. von Hardenberg4D. O'Donnell5R. Döscher6Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 601 76 Norrköping, SwedenRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, 3730 AE De Bilt, the NetherlandsDanish Meteorological Institute (DMI), 2100 Copenhagen, DenmarkDepartment of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, ItalyInstitute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (ISAC-CNR), 10133 Turin, ItalyFinnish Meteorological Institute, 00560 Helsinki, FinlandRossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 601 76 Norrköping, Sweden<p>Many modelling groups that contribute to CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) have found a larger equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) with their latest model versions compared with the values obtained with the earlier versions used in CMIP5. This is also the case for the EC-Earth model. Therefore, in this study, we investigate what developments since the CMIP5 era could have caused the increase in the ECS in this model. Apart from increases in the horizontal and vertical resolution, the EC-Earth model has also substantially changed the representation of aerosols; in particular, it has introduced a more sophisticated description of aerosol indirect effects. After testing the model with some of the recent updates switched off, we find that the ECS increase can be attributed to the more advanced treatment of aerosols, with the largest contribution coming from the effect of aerosols on cloud microphysics (cloud lifetime or second indirect effect). The increase in climate sensitivity is unrelated to model tuning, as all experiments were performed with the same tuning parameters and only the representation of the aerosol effects was changed. These results cannot be generalised to other models, as their CMIP5 and CMIP6 versions may differ with respect to aspects other than the aerosol–cloud interaction, but the results highlight the strong sensitivity of ECS to the details of the aerosol forcing.</p>https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3465/2020/gmd-13-3465-2020.pdf
spellingShingle K. Wyser
T. van Noije
S. Yang
J. von Hardenberg
J. von Hardenberg
D. O'Donnell
R. Döscher
On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6
Geoscientific Model Development
title On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6
title_full On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6
title_fullStr On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6
title_full_unstemmed On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6
title_short On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6
title_sort on the increased climate sensitivity in the ec earth model from cmip5 to cmip6
url https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3465/2020/gmd-13-3465-2020.pdf
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