Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends

This paper examines the asymmetric effects of benchmark oil prices on the prices of the three major Iraqi oil blends (Basrah Light, Basrah Heavy and Kirkuk) using Kilian and Vigfusson's (2011) non-linear VAR specification. The empirical evidence reveals that a decrease in benchmark prices decr...

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Main Authors: Volkan Kahraman, Nukhet Dogan, Hakan Berument
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2024-03-01
Series:International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/15407
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author Volkan Kahraman
Nukhet Dogan
Hakan Berument
author_facet Volkan Kahraman
Nukhet Dogan
Hakan Berument
author_sort Volkan Kahraman
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the asymmetric effects of benchmark oil prices on the prices of the three major Iraqi oil blends (Basrah Light, Basrah Heavy and Kirkuk) using Kilian and Vigfusson's (2011) non-linear VAR specification. The empirical evidence reveals that a decrease in benchmark prices decreases Basrah Light and Kirkuk oil blends more than an increase in the benchmark increases the prices of these two Iraqi blends for the October 2002-October 2019 period. However, the asymmetric behavior of Basrah Heavy is the reverse for the April 2015-October 2019 period. Moreover, as the magnitude of the benchmark oil price shocks increases, the degree of asymmetry increases. This shows that Iraq cannot benefit from oil price increases and market developments for its two most important export blends: Basrah Light and Kirkuk.
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spelling doaj.art-cae72d6c7c844b2390bf045a3c0b55112024-03-15T14:45:51ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Energy Economics and Policy2146-45532024-03-0114210.32479/ijeep.15407Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil BlendsVolkan Kahraman0Nukhet Dogan1Hakan Berument2Energy Economics, Policy, and Security, The Graduate School of Economics and Social Sciences, Bilkent University, 06800 Ankara, TürkiyeDepartment of Econometrics, Ankara Haci Bayram Veli University, 06420 Ankara, TürkiyeDepartment of Economics, Bilkent University, 06800 Ankara, Türkiye This paper examines the asymmetric effects of benchmark oil prices on the prices of the three major Iraqi oil blends (Basrah Light, Basrah Heavy and Kirkuk) using Kilian and Vigfusson's (2011) non-linear VAR specification. The empirical evidence reveals that a decrease in benchmark prices decreases Basrah Light and Kirkuk oil blends more than an increase in the benchmark increases the prices of these two Iraqi blends for the October 2002-October 2019 period. However, the asymmetric behavior of Basrah Heavy is the reverse for the April 2015-October 2019 period. Moreover, as the magnitude of the benchmark oil price shocks increases, the degree of asymmetry increases. This shows that Iraq cannot benefit from oil price increases and market developments for its two most important export blends: Basrah Light and Kirkuk. https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/15407Crude Oil Prices, Benchmark Prices, Asymmetric Effects
spellingShingle Volkan Kahraman
Nukhet Dogan
Hakan Berument
Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Crude Oil Prices, Benchmark Prices, Asymmetric Effects
title Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends
title_full Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends
title_fullStr Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends
title_full_unstemmed Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends
title_short Benchmark Prices and Iraqi Oil Prices: The Asymmetric Effects of Benchmark Prices on Three Iraqi Oil Blends
title_sort benchmark prices and iraqi oil prices the asymmetric effects of benchmark prices on three iraqi oil blends
topic Crude Oil Prices, Benchmark Prices, Asymmetric Effects
url https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/15407
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